Japan Population Decline Simulator

Saitama埼玉県

Nagatoro 長瀞町

Data last updated:

Nagatoro, Saitama, Japan has a population of 6,112 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 5,736 by 2030 and 3,685 by 2050 (a decrease of about 45.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 39.6% in 2020 to 58.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

6,112

2030Projection

5,736

▼ -15.7%

2040Projection

4,668

▼ -31.4%

2050Projection

3,685

▼ -45.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 39.6%→2050 58.1%

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Other municipalities in Saitama (埼玉県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nagatoro Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19808,908▲ +30.9%Census
19858,963▲ +31.7%Census
19908,906▲ +30.8%Census
19958,809▲ +29.4%Census
20008,560▲ +25.8%Census
20058,352▲ +22.7%Census
20107,908▲ +16.2%Census
20157,324▲ +7.6%Census
20206,807—Census
20256,112▼ -10.2%Census
20305,736▼ -15.7%Projection
20355,201▼ -23.6%Projection
20404,668▼ -31.4%Projection
20454,157▼ -38.9%Projection
20503,685▼ -45.9%Projection

About Nagatoro

Overview

Nagatoro (長瀞町) is a municipality in Saitama, Japan, with a population of 6,112 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nagatoro

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nagatoro's population is expected to reach 5,736 by 2030 (-15.7%), 4,668 by 2040 (-31.4%), and 3,685 by 2050 (-45.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nagatoro

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 39.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 58.1% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Nagatoro is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #488 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #166 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1523 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Saitama

Earnings in Saitama (埼玉県): Average salary in Saitama (埼玉県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nagatoro, Saitama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nagatoro has a population of 6,112.
Q.What is the population of Nagatoro in 2026?
A.Nagatoro's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 6,037. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (6,112) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (5,736).
Q.What is the projected population of Nagatoro in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nagatoro's population is expected to be 5,736 in 2030, 4,668 in 2040, and 3,685 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nagatoro?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nagatoro's population is projected to change by -45.9%. The 10-year change is -15.7% and the 20-year change is -31.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Nagatoro declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nagatoro, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 39.6% to 58.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nagatoro?
A.Nagatoro's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 39.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 58.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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