Japan Population Decline Simulator

Chiba千葉県

Ichihara 市原市

Data last updated:

Ichihara, Chiba, Japan has a population of 259,897 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 250,863 by 2030 and 207,507 by 2050 (a decrease of about 23.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 29.7% in 2020 to 39.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

259,897

2030

(Projection)

250,863

▼ -6.9%

2040

(Projection)

229,289

▼ -14.9%

2050

(Projection)

207,507

▼ -23.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 29.7%→2050 39%

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Other municipalities in Chiba (千葉県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Ichihara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980216,394▼ -19.7%Census
1985237,617▼ -11.8%Census
1990257,716▼ -4.4%Census
1995277,061▲ +2.8%Census
2000278,218▲ +3.2%Census
2005280,255▲ +4.0%Census
2010280,416▲ +4.0%Census
2015274,656▲ +1.9%Census
2020269,524—Census
2025259,897▼ -3.6%Census
2030250,863▼ -6.9%Projection
2035240,486▼ -10.8%Projection
2040229,289▼ -14.9%Projection
2045218,144▼ -19.1%Projection
2050207,507▼ -23.0%Projection

About Ichihara

Overview

Ichihara (市原市) is a municipality in Chiba, Japan, with a population of 259,897 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Ichihara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Ichihara's population is expected to reach 250,863 by 2030 (-6.9%), 229,289 by 2040 (-14.9%), and 207,507 by 2050 (-23.0%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Ichihara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 29.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 39.0% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Ichihara's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1258 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1340 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #113 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Chiba

Earnings in Chiba (千葉県): Average salary in Chiba (千葉県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Ichihara, Chiba?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Ichihara has a population of 259,897.
Q.What is the population of Ichihara in 2026?
A.Ichihara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 258,090. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (259,897) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (250,863).
Q.What is the projected population of Ichihara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Ichihara's population is expected to be 250,863 in 2030, 229,289 in 2040, and 207,507 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Ichihara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Ichihara's population is projected to change by -23.0%. The 10-year change is -6.9% and the 20-year change is -14.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Ichihara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Ichihara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 29.7% to 39.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Ichihara?
A.Ichihara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 29.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 39.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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