Japan Population Decline Simulator

Chiba千葉県

Minamibousou 南房総市

Data last updated:

Minamibousou, Chiba, Japan has a population of 35,844 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 29,346 by 2030 and 19,201 by 2050 (a decrease of about 46.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 47.2% to 57.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

35,844

2030

(Projection)

29,346

-18.1%

2040

(Projection)

23,900

-33.3%

2050

(Projection)

19,201

-46.4%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 47.2%2050 57.6%

Other municipalities in Chiba (千葉県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Minamibousou Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
202035,844Census
202532,286▼ -9.9%Projection
203029,346▼ -18.1%Projection
203526,525▼ -26.0%Projection
204023,900▼ -33.3%Projection
204521,445▼ -40.2%Projection
205019,201▼ -46.4%Projection

About Minamibousou

Overview

Minamibousou (南房総市) is a municipality in Chiba, Japan, with a population of 35,844 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Minamibousou

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Minamibousou's population is expected to reach 29,346 by 2030 (-18.1%), 23,900 by 2040 (-33.3%), and 19,201 by 2050 (-46.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Minamibousou

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 47.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 57.6% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Minamibousou is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #475 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #183 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #844 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Chiba

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Minamibousou, Chiba?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Minamibousou has a population of 35,844.
Q.What is the population of Minamibousou in 2026?
A.Minamibousou's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 31,698. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (35,844) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (29,346).
Q.What is the projected population of Minamibousou in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Minamibousou's population is expected to be 29,346 in 2030, 23,900 in 2040, and 19,201 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Minamibousou?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Minamibousou's population is projected to change by -46.4%. The 10-year change is -18.1% and the 20-year change is -33.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Minamibousou declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Minamibousou, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 47.2% to 57.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Minamibousou?
A.Minamibousou's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 47.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 57.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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