Japan Population Decline Simulator

Chiba千葉県

Shirako 白子町

Data last updated:

Shirako, Chiba, Japan has a population of 10,311 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 8,816 by 2030 and 5,779 by 2050 (a decrease of about 44.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.6% to 54.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

10,311

2030

(Projection)

8,816

-14.5%

2040

(Projection)

7,223

-29.9%

2050

(Projection)

5,779

-44.0%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 40.6%2050 54.7%

Other municipalities in Chiba (千葉県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Shirako Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
202010,311Census
20259,562▼ -7.3%Projection
20308,816▼ -14.5%Projection
20358,019▼ -22.2%Projection
20407,223▼ -29.9%Projection
20456,470▼ -37.3%Projection
20505,779▼ -44.0%Projection

About Shirako

Overview

Shirako (白子町) is a municipality in Chiba, Japan, with a population of 10,311 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Shirako

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shirako's population is expected to reach 8,816 by 2030 (-14.5%), 7,223 by 2040 (-29.9%), and 5,779 by 2050 (-44.0%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Shirako

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 54.7% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Shirako is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #567 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #293 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1373 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Chiba

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Shirako, Chiba?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Shirako has a population of 10,311.
Q.What is the population of Shirako in 2026?
A.Shirako's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 9,413. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (10,311) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (8,816).
Q.What is the projected population of Shirako in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Shirako's population is expected to be 8,816 in 2030, 7,223 in 2040, and 5,779 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Shirako?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Shirako's population is projected to change by -44.0%. The 10-year change is -14.5% and the 20-year change is -29.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Shirako declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Shirako, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 40.6% to 54.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Shirako?
A.Shirako's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 40.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 54.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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