Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kanagawa神奈川県

Yugawara 湯河原町

Data last updated:

Yugawara, Kanagawa, Japan has a population of 21,671 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 20,566 by 2030 and 14,614 by 2050 (a decrease of about 37.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 43.1% in 2020 to 59.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

21,671

2030

(Projection)

20,566

▼ -12.2%

2040

(Projection)

17,582

▼ -24.9%

2050

(Projection)

14,614

▼ -37.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 43.1%→2050 59.7%

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Other municipalities in Kanagawa (神奈川県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Yugawara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198025,456▲ +8.7%Census
198526,027▲ +11.1%Census
199027,717▲ +18.3%Census
199528,389▲ +21.2%Census
200027,721▲ +18.3%Census
200527,430▲ +17.1%Census
201026,848▲ +14.6%Census
201525,026▲ +6.8%Census
202023,426—Census
202521,671▼ -7.5%Census
203020,566▼ -12.2%Projection
203519,087▼ -18.5%Projection
204017,582▼ -24.9%Projection
204516,061▼ -31.4%Projection
205014,614▼ -37.6%Projection

About Yugawara

Overview

Yugawara (湯河原町) is a municipality in Kanagawa, Japan, with a population of 21,671 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Yugawara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Yugawara's population is expected to reach 20,566 by 2030 (-12.2%), 17,582 by 2040 (-24.9%), and 14,614 by 2050 (-37.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Yugawara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 43.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 59.7% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Yugawara's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #804 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #119 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1043 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kanagawa

Earnings in Kanagawa (神奈川県): Average salary in Kanagawa (神奈川県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Yugawara, Kanagawa?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Yugawara has a population of 21,671.
Q.What is the population of Yugawara in 2026?
A.Yugawara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 21,450. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (21,671) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (20,566).
Q.What is the projected population of Yugawara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Yugawara's population is expected to be 20,566 in 2030, 17,582 in 2040, and 14,614 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Yugawara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Yugawara's population is projected to change by -37.6%. The 10-year change is -12.2% and the 20-year change is -24.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Yugawara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Yugawara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 43.1% to 59.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Yugawara?
A.Yugawara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 43.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 59.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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