Japan Population Decline Simulator

Toyama富山県

Kurobe 黒部市

Data last updated:

Kurobe, Toyama, Japan has a population of 37,599 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 36,419 by 2030 and 29,373 by 2050 (a decrease of about 25.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 32.0% in 2020 to 40.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

37,599

2030Projection

36,419

▼ -8.1%

2040Projection

32,911

▼ -17.0%

2050Projection

29,373

▼ -25.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 32%→2050 40.2%

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Other municipalities in Toyama (富山県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kurobe Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198043,096▲ +8.7%Census
198543,588▲ +10.0%Census
199043,754▲ +10.4%Census
199543,439▲ +9.6%Census
200043,084▲ +8.7%Census
200542,694▲ +7.7%Census
201041,852▲ +5.6%Census
201540,991▲ +3.4%Census
202039,638—Census
202537,599▼ -5.1%Census
203036,419▼ -8.1%Projection
203534,691▼ -12.5%Projection
204032,911▼ -17.0%Projection
204531,134▼ -21.5%Projection
205029,373▼ -25.9%Projection

About Kurobe

Overview

Kurobe (黒部市) is a municipality in Toyama, Japan, with a population of 37,599 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kurobe

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kurobe's population is expected to reach 36,419 by 2030 (-8.1%), 32,911 by 2040 (-17.0%), and 29,373 by 2050 (-25.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kurobe

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 32.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 40.2% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kurobe's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1178 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1237 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #803 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Toyama

Earnings in Toyama (富山県): Average salary in Toyama (富山県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kurobe, Toyama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kurobe has a population of 37,599.
Q.What is the population of Kurobe in 2026?
A.Kurobe's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 37,363. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (37,599) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (36,419).
Q.What is the projected population of Kurobe in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kurobe's population is expected to be 36,419 in 2030, 32,911 in 2040, and 29,373 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kurobe?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kurobe's population is projected to change by -25.9%. The 10-year change is -8.1% and the 20-year change is -17.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Kurobe declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kurobe, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 32.0% to 40.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kurobe?
A.Kurobe's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 32.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 40.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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