Japan Population Decline Simulator

Toyama富山県

Tonami 砺波市

Data last updated:

Tonami, Toyama, Japan has a population of 45,783 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 45,125 by 2030 and 37,730 by 2050 (a decrease of about 21.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.5% in 2020 to 41.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

45,783

2030Projection

45,125

▼ -6.3%

2040Projection

41,700

▼ -13.4%

2050Projection

37,730

▼ -21.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.5%→2050 41.6%

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Other municipalities in Toyama (富山県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Tonami Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198043,530▼ -9.6%Census
198544,150▼ -8.3%Census
199044,521▼ -7.5%Census
199545,918▼ -4.6%Census
200048,092▼ -0.1%Census
200549,429▲ +2.6%Census
201049,410▲ +2.6%Census
201549,000▲ +1.8%Census
202048,154—Census
202545,783▼ -4.9%Census
203045,125▼ -6.3%Projection
203543,477▼ -9.7%Projection
204041,700▼ -13.4%Projection
204539,763▼ -17.4%Projection
205037,730▼ -21.6%Projection

About Tonami

Overview

Tonami (砺波市) is a municipality in Toyama, Japan, with a population of 45,783 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tonami

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tonami's population is expected to reach 45,125 by 2030 (-6.3%), 41,700 by 2040 (-13.4%), and 37,730 by 2050 (-21.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Tonami

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 41.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Tonami's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1309 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1120 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #715 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Toyama

Earnings in Toyama (富山県): Average salary in Toyama (富山県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tonami, Toyama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tonami has a population of 45,783.
Q.What is the population of Tonami in 2026?
A.Tonami's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 45,651. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (45,783) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (45,125).
Q.What is the projected population of Tonami in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tonami's population is expected to be 45,125 in 2030, 41,700 in 2040, and 37,730 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tonami?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tonami's population is projected to change by -21.6%. The 10-year change is -6.3% and the 20-year change is -13.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Tonami declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tonami, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.5% to 41.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tonami?
A.Tonami's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 41.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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