Japan Population Decline Simulator

Fukui福井県

Sakai 坂井市

Data last updated:

Sakai, Fukui, Japan has a population of 84,713 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 82,411 by 2030 and 67,141 by 2050 (a decrease of about 24.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.9% in 2020 to 40.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

84,713

2030Projection

82,411

▼ -6.9%

2040Projection

75,231

▼ -15.0%

2050Projection

67,141

▼ -24.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28.9%→2050 40.8%

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Other municipalities in Fukui (福井県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Sakai Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198075,983▼ -14.1%Census
198580,707▼ -8.8%Census
199083,372▼ -5.8%Census
199586,870▼ -1.8%Census
200091,173▲ +3.0%Census
200592,318▲ +4.3%Census
201091,900▲ +3.9%Census
201590,280▲ +2.0%Census
202088,481—Census
202584,713▼ -4.3%Census
203082,411▼ -6.9%Projection
203578,942▼ -10.8%Projection
204075,231▼ -15.0%Projection
204571,245▼ -19.5%Projection
205067,141▼ -24.1%Projection

About Sakai

Overview

Sakai (坂井市) is a municipality in Fukui, Japan, with a population of 84,713 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Sakai

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Sakai's population is expected to reach 82,411 by 2030 (-6.9%), 75,231 by 2040 (-15.0%), and 67,141 by 2050 (-24.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Sakai

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 40.8% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Sakai's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1235 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1190 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #471 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Fukui

Earnings in Fukui (福井県): Average salary in Fukui (福井県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Sakai, Fukui?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Sakai has a population of 84,713.
Q.What is the population of Sakai in 2026?
A.Sakai's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 84,253. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (84,713) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (82,411).
Q.What is the projected population of Sakai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Sakai's population is expected to be 82,411 in 2030, 75,231 in 2040, and 67,141 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Sakai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Sakai's population is projected to change by -24.1%. The 10-year change is -6.9% and the 20-year change is -15.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Sakai declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Sakai, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.9% to 40.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Sakai?
A.Sakai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 40.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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