Japan Population Decline Simulator

Fukui福井県

Wakasa 若狭町

Data last updated:

Wakasa, Fukui, Japan has a population of 12,684 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 11,425 by 2030 and 7,779 by 2050 (a decrease of about 44.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 36.5% in 2020 to 49.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

12,684

2030Projection

11,425

▼ -18.4%

2040Projection

9,511

▼ -32.1%

2050Projection

7,779

▼ -44.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 36.5%→2050 49%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Wakasa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198018,114▲ +29.4%Census
198518,026▲ +28.7%Census
199017,835▲ +27.4%Census
199517,567▲ +25.5%Census
200017,313▲ +23.6%Census
200516,780▲ +19.8%Census
201016,099▲ +15.0%Census
201515,257▲ +9.0%Census
202014,003—Census
202512,684▼ -9.4%Census
203011,425▼ -18.4%Projection
203510,452▼ -25.4%Projection
20409,511▼ -32.1%Projection
20458,627▼ -38.4%Projection
20507,779▼ -44.4%Projection

About Wakasa

Overview

Wakasa (若狭町) is a municipality in Fukui, Japan, with a population of 12,684 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Wakasa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Wakasa's population is expected to reach 11,425 by 2030 (-18.4%), 9,511 by 2040 (-32.1%), and 7,779 by 2050 (-44.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Wakasa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 36.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 49.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Wakasa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #552 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #625 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1261 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Fukui

Earnings in Fukui (福井県): Average salary in Fukui (福井県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Wakasa, Fukui?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Wakasa has a population of 12,684.
Q.What is the population of Wakasa in 2026?
A.Wakasa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 12,432. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (12,684) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (11,425).
Q.What is the projected population of Wakasa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Wakasa's population is expected to be 11,425 in 2030, 9,511 in 2040, and 7,779 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Wakasa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Wakasa's population is projected to change by -44.4%. The 10-year change is -18.4% and the 20-year change is -32.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Wakasa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Wakasa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 36.5% to 49.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Wakasa?
A.Wakasa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 36.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 49.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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