Japan Population Decline Simulator

Shizuoka静岡県

Kakegawa 掛川市

Data last updated:

Kakegawa, Shizuoka, Japan has a population of 111,544 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 109,431 by 2030 and 95,159 by 2050 (a decrease of about 17.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.0% in 2020 to 37.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

111,544

2030

(Projection)

109,431

▼ -4.8%

2040

(Projection)

102,728

▼ -10.6%

2050

(Projection)

95,159

▼ -17.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28%→2050 37.1%

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Other municipalities in Shizuoka (静岡県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kakegawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198094,398▼ -17.9%Census
198599,974▼ -13.0%Census
1990105,030▼ -8.6%Census
1995109,978▼ -4.3%Census
2000114,328▼ -0.5%Census
2005117,857▲ +2.5%Census
2010116,363▲ +1.2%Census
2015114,602▼ -0.3%Census
2020114,954—Census
2025111,544▼ -3.0%Census
2030109,431▼ -4.8%Projection
2035106,177▼ -7.6%Projection
2040102,728▼ -10.6%Projection
204599,019▼ -13.9%Projection
205095,159▼ -17.2%Projection

About Kakegawa

Overview

Kakegawa (掛川市) is a municipality in Shizuoka, Japan, with a population of 111,544 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kakegawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kakegawa's population is expected to reach 109,431 by 2030 (-4.8%), 102,728 by 2040 (-10.6%), and 95,159 by 2050 (-17.2%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Kakegawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 37.1% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kakegawa's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1428 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1471 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #372 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Shizuoka

Earnings in Shizuoka (静岡県): Average salary in Shizuoka (静岡県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kakegawa, Shizuoka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kakegawa has a population of 111,544.
Q.What is the population of Kakegawa in 2026?
A.Kakegawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 111,121. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (111,544) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (109,431).
Q.What is the projected population of Kakegawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kakegawa's population is expected to be 109,431 in 2030, 102,728 in 2040, and 95,159 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kakegawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kakegawa's population is projected to change by -17.2%. The 10-year change is -4.8% and the 20-year change is -10.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Kakegawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kakegawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.0% to 37.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kakegawa?
A.Kakegawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 37.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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