Japan Population Decline Simulator

Shizuoka静岡県

Gotenba 御殿場市

Data last updated:

Gotenba, Shizuoka, Japan has a population of 80,965 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 79,217 by 2030 and 70,200 by 2050 (a decrease of about 19.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 25.6% in 2020 to 37.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

80,965

2030

(Projection)

79,217

▼ -8.5%

2040

(Projection)

75,256

▼ -13.1%

2050

(Projection)

70,200

▼ -19.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 25.6%→2050 37%

Enter your age

See the population of 御殿場市 when you turn 50, 60, 70 and 80.

years old

Other municipalities in Shizuoka (静岡県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Gotenba Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198069,261▼ -20.0%Census
198574,882▼ -13.5%Census
199079,557▼ -8.1%Census
199581,803▼ -5.6%Census
200082,533▼ -4.7%Census
200585,976▼ -0.7%Census
201089,030▲ +2.8%Census
201588,078▲ +1.7%Census
202086,614—Census
202580,965▼ -6.5%Census
203079,217▼ -8.5%Projection
203577,353▼ -10.7%Projection
204075,256▼ -13.1%Projection
204572,863▼ -15.9%Projection
205070,200▼ -19.0%Projection

About Gotenba

Overview

Gotenba (御殿場市) is a municipality in Shizuoka, Japan, with a population of 80,965 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Gotenba

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Gotenba's population is expected to reach 79,217 by 2030 (-8.5%), 75,256 by 2040 (-13.1%), and 70,200 by 2050 (-19.0%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Gotenba

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 25.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 37.0% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Gotenba's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1377 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1476 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #490 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Shizuoka

Earnings in Shizuoka (静岡県): Average salary in Shizuoka (静岡県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Gotenba, Shizuoka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Gotenba has a population of 80,965.
Q.What is the population of Gotenba in 2026?
A.Gotenba's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 80,615. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (80,965) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (79,217).
Q.What is the projected population of Gotenba in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Gotenba's population is expected to be 79,217 in 2030, 75,256 in 2040, and 70,200 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Gotenba?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Gotenba's population is projected to change by -19.0%. The 10-year change is -8.5% and the 20-year change is -13.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Gotenba declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Gotenba, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 25.6% to 37.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Gotenba?
A.Gotenba's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 25.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 37.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Shizuoka

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page