Shizuoka静岡県
Makinohara 牧之原市
Data last updated:
Makinohara, Shizuoka, Japan has a population of 40,303 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 38,371 by 2030 and 27,948 by 2050 (a decrease of about 35.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 31.9% in 2020 to 44.5%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)
2025
(Census)
40,303
2030
(Projection)
38,371
▼ -11.8%
2040
(Projection)
33,268
▼ -23.5%
2050
(Projection)
27,948
▼ -35.8%
Change vs. 2020 census
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Other municipalities in Shizuoka (静岡県)
Data Sources
- Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
- National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)
* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.
Makinohara Population Table (1980–2050)
Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.
| Year | Population | vs 2020 | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | 48,835 | ▲ +12.3% | Census |
| 1985 | 50,508 | ▲ +16.1% | Census |
| 1990 | 51,308 | ▲ +17.9% | Census |
| 1995 | 52,067 | ▲ +19.7% | Census |
| 2000 | 51,672 | ▲ +18.8% | Census |
| 2005 | 50,645 | ▲ +16.4% | Census |
| 2010 | 49,019 | ▲ +12.7% | Census |
| 2015 | 45,547 | ▲ +4.7% | Census |
| 2020 | 43,502 | — | Census |
| 2025 | 40,303 | ▼ -7.4% | Census |
| 2030 | 38,371 | ▼ -11.8% | Projection |
| 2035 | 35,820 | ▼ -17.7% | Projection |
| 2040 | 33,268 | ▼ -23.5% | Projection |
| 2045 | 30,575 | ▼ -29.7% | Projection |
| 2050 | 27,948 | ▼ -35.8% | Projection |
About Makinohara
Overview
Makinohara (牧之原市) is a municipality in Shizuoka, Japan, with a population of 40,303 as of 2025.
Population Projection of Makinohara
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Makinohara's population is expected to reach 38,371 by 2030 (-11.8%), 33,268 by 2040 (-23.5%), and 27,948 by 2050 (-35.8%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.
Aging Rate of Makinohara
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 31.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.5% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.
National Comparison
Makinohara's population decline rate exceeds the national average.
National and Prefectural Rank
- Population decline rate: Ranked #868 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
- Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #913 out of 1903 nationwide.
- Population size: Ranked #777 out of 1917 nationwide.
- Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Shizuoka
Earnings in Shizuoka (静岡県): Average salary in Shizuoka (静岡県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure