Japan Population Decline Simulator

Shiga滋賀県

Ootsu 大津市

Data last updated:

Ootsu, Shiga, Japan has a population of 342,879 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 345,055 by 2030 and 320,021 by 2050 (a decrease of about 7.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 27.0% in 2020 to 38.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

342,879

2030Projection

345,055

→ 0.0%

2040Projection

335,925

▼ -2.7%

2050Projection

320,021

▼ -7.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 27%→2050 38%

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Other municipalities in Shiga (滋賀県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Ootsu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980228,982▼ -33.6%Census
1985250,715▼ -27.3%Census
1990277,290▼ -19.6%Census
1995295,574▼ -14.3%Census
2000309,793▼ -10.2%Census
2005323,719▼ -6.2%Census
2010337,634▼ -2.2%Census
2015340,973▼ -1.2%Census
2020345,070—Census
2025342,879▼ -0.6%Census
2030345,055→ 0.0%Projection
2035341,592▼ -1.0%Projection
2040335,925▼ -2.7%Projection
2045328,470▼ -4.8%Projection
2050320,021▼ -7.3%Projection

About Ootsu

Overview

Ootsu (大津市) is a municipality in Shiga, Japan, with a population of 342,879 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Ootsu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Ootsu's population is expected to reach 345,055 by 2030 (0.0%), 335,925 by 2040 (-2.7%), and 320,021 by 2050 (-7.3%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Ootsu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 27.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 38.0% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Ootsu's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1674 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1404 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #72 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Shiga

Earnings in Shiga (滋賀県): Average salary in Shiga (滋賀県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Ootsu, Shiga?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Ootsu has a population of 342,879.
Q.What is the population of Ootsu in 2026?
A.Ootsu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 343,314. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (342,879) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (345,055).
Q.What is the projected population of Ootsu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Ootsu's population is expected to be 345,055 in 2030, 335,925 in 2040, and 320,021 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Ootsu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Ootsu's population is projected to change by -7.3%. The 10-year change is 0.0% and the 20-year change is -2.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Ootsu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Ootsu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 27.0% to 38.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Ootsu?
A.Ootsu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 27.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 38.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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