Japan Population Decline Simulator

Osaka大阪府

Higashinari 大阪市東成区

Data last updated:

Higashinari, Osaka, Japan has a population of 89,322 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 83,815 by 2030 and 77,833 by 2050 (a decrease of about 8.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 25.6% in 2020 to 33.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

89,322

2030

(Projection)

83,815

▼ -1.3%

2040

(Projection)

81,522

▼ -4.0%

2050

(Projection)

77,833

▼ -8.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 25.6%→2050 33.1%

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Other municipalities in Osaka (大阪府)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Higashinari Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198089,138▲ +5.0%Census
198583,897▼ -1.2%Census
199081,380▼ -4.2%Census
199578,736▼ -7.3%Census
200078,580▼ -7.5%Census
200578,929▼ -7.0%Census
201080,231▼ -5.5%Census
201580,563▼ -5.1%Census
202084,906—Census
202589,322▲ +5.2%Census
203083,815▼ -1.3%Projection
203582,821▼ -2.5%Projection
204081,522▼ -4.0%Projection
204579,816▼ -6.0%Projection
205077,833▼ -8.3%Projection

About Higashinari

Overview

Higashinari (大阪市東成区) is a municipality in Osaka, Japan, with a population of 89,322 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Higashinari

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Higashinari's population is expected to reach 83,815 by 2030 (-1.3%), 81,522 by 2040 (-4.0%), and 77,833 by 2050 (-8.3%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Higashinari

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 25.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 33.1% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Higashinari's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1655 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1727 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #456 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Osaka

Earnings in Osaka (大阪府): Average salary in Osaka (大阪府) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Higashinari, Osaka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Higashinari has a population of 89,322.
Q.What is the population of Higashinari in 2026?
A.Higashinari's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 88,221. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (89,322) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (83,815).
Q.What is the projected population of Higashinari in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Higashinari's population is expected to be 83,815 in 2030, 81,522 in 2040, and 77,833 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Higashinari?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Higashinari's population is projected to change by -8.3%. The 10-year change is -1.3% and the 20-year change is -4.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Higashinari declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Higashinari, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 25.6% to 33.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Higashinari?
A.Higashinari's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 25.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 33.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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