Japan Population Decline Simulator

Osaka大阪府

Kaizuka 貝塚市

Data last updated:

Kaizuka, Osaka, Japan has a population of 78,791 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 76,635 by 2030 and 59,365 by 2050 (a decrease of about 29.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 27.5% in 2020 to 40.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

78,791

2030

(Projection)

76,635

▼ -9.2%

2040

(Projection)

68,149

▼ -19.3%

2050

(Projection)

59,365

▼ -29.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 27.5%→2050 40.9%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kaizuka Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198081,162▼ -3.9%Census
198579,591▼ -5.7%Census
199079,234▼ -6.2%Census
199584,653▲ +0.2%Census
200088,523▲ +4.8%Census
200590,314▲ +7.0%Census
201090,519▲ +7.2%Census
201588,694▲ +5.0%Census
202084,443—Census
202578,791▼ -6.7%Census
203076,635▼ -9.2%Projection
203572,388▼ -14.3%Projection
204068,149▼ -19.3%Projection
204563,830▼ -24.4%Projection
205059,365▼ -29.7%Projection

About Kaizuka

Overview

Kaizuka (貝塚市) is a municipality in Osaka, Japan, with a population of 78,791 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kaizuka

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kaizuka's population is expected to reach 76,635 by 2030 (-9.2%), 68,149 by 2040 (-19.3%), and 59,365 by 2050 (-29.7%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kaizuka

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 27.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 40.9% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kaizuka's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1067 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1182 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #498 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Osaka

Earnings in Osaka (大阪府): Average salary in Osaka (大阪府) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kaizuka, Osaka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kaizuka has a population of 78,791.
Q.What is the population of Kaizuka in 2026?
A.Kaizuka's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 78,360. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (78,791) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (76,635).
Q.What is the projected population of Kaizuka in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kaizuka's population is expected to be 76,635 in 2030, 68,149 in 2040, and 59,365 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kaizuka?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kaizuka's population is projected to change by -29.7%. The 10-year change is -9.2% and the 20-year change is -19.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Kaizuka declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kaizuka, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 27.5% to 40.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kaizuka?
A.Kaizuka's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 27.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 40.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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