Japan Population Decline Simulator

Osaka大阪府

Sakai 堺市堺区

Data last updated:

Sakai, Osaka, Japan has a population of 149,807 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 142,897 by 2030 and 126,830 by 2050 (a decrease of about 14.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.2% in 2020 to 34.4%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

149,807

2030

(Projection)

142,897

▼ -3.9%

2040

(Projection)

135,129

▼ -9.1%

2050

(Projection)

126,830

▼ -14.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28.2%→2050 34.4%

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Other municipalities in Osaka (大阪府)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Sakai Population Table (2010–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
2010148,748→ 0.0%Census
2015148,205▼ -0.3%Census
2020148,682—Census
2025149,807▲ +0.8%Census
2030142,897▼ -3.9%Projection
2035139,154▼ -6.4%Projection
2040135,129▼ -9.1%Projection
2045131,031▼ -11.9%Projection
2050126,830▼ -14.7%Projection

About Sakai

Overview

Sakai (堺市堺区) is a municipality in Osaka, Japan, with a population of 149,807 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Sakai

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Sakai's population is expected to reach 142,897 by 2030 (-3.9%), 135,129 by 2040 (-9.1%), and 126,830 by 2050 (-14.7%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Sakai

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 34.4% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Sakai's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1489 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1653 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #264 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Osaka

Earnings in Osaka (大阪府): Average salary in Osaka (大阪府) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Sakai, Osaka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Sakai has a population of 149,807.
Q.What is the population of Sakai in 2026?
A.Sakai's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 148,425. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (149,807) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (142,897).
Q.What is the projected population of Sakai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Sakai's population is expected to be 142,897 in 2030, 135,129 in 2040, and 126,830 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Sakai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Sakai's population is projected to change by -14.7%. The 10-year change is -3.9% and the 20-year change is -9.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Sakai declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Sakai, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.2% to 34.4% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Sakai?
A.Sakai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 34.4% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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