Japan Population Decline Simulator

Osaka大阪府

Kawachinagano 河内長野市

Data last updated:

Kawachinagano, Osaka, Japan has a population of 94,761 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 87,868 by 2030 and 58,342 by 2050 (a decrease of about 42.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.9% in 2020 to 52.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

94,761

2030

(Projection)

87,868

▼ -13.6%

2040

(Projection)

72,683

▼ -28.5%

2050

(Projection)

58,342

▼ -42.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35.9%→2050 52.9%

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Other municipalities in Osaka (大阪府)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kawachinagano Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198078,572▼ -22.7%Census
198591,313▼ -10.2%Census
1990108,767▲ +7.0%Census
1995117,082▲ +15.1%Census
2000121,008▲ +19.0%Census
2005117,239▲ +15.3%Census
2010112,490▲ +10.6%Census
2015106,987▲ +5.2%Census
2020101,692—Census
202594,761▼ -6.8%Census
203087,868▼ -13.6%Projection
203580,374▼ -21.0%Projection
204072,683▼ -28.5%Projection
204565,218▼ -35.9%Projection
205058,342▼ -42.6%Projection

About Kawachinagano

Overview

Kawachinagano (河内長野市) is a municipality in Osaka, Japan, with a population of 94,761 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kawachinagano

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kawachinagano's population is expected to reach 87,868 by 2030 (-13.6%), 72,683 by 2040 (-28.5%), and 58,342 by 2050 (-42.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kawachinagano

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 52.9% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Kawachinagano is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #624 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #375 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #434 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Osaka

Earnings in Osaka (大阪府): Average salary in Osaka (大阪府) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kawachinagano, Osaka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kawachinagano has a population of 94,761.
Q.What is the population of Kawachinagano in 2026?
A.Kawachinagano's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 93,382. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (94,761) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (87,868).
Q.What is the projected population of Kawachinagano in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kawachinagano's population is expected to be 87,868 in 2030, 72,683 in 2040, and 58,342 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kawachinagano?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kawachinagano's population is projected to change by -42.6%. The 10-year change is -13.6% and the 20-year change is -28.5%.
Q.Why is the population of Kawachinagano declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kawachinagano, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.9% to 52.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kawachinagano?
A.Kawachinagano's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 52.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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