Japan Population Decline Simulator

Osaka大阪府

Nose 能勢町

Data last updated:

Nose, Osaka, Japan has a population of 7,910 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 7,276 by 2030 and 3,838 by 2050 (a decrease of about 57.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 42.1% in 2020 to 68.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

7,910

2030

(Projection)

7,276

▼ -19.9%

2040

(Projection)

5,477

▼ -39.7%

2050

(Projection)

3,838

▼ -57.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 42.1%→2050 68.7%

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Other municipalities in Osaka (大阪府)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nose Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198010,024▲ +10.4%Census
198510,389▲ +14.4%Census
199010,850▲ +19.5%Census
199513,876▲ +52.8%Census
200014,186▲ +56.3%Census
200512,897▲ +42.1%Census
201011,650▲ +28.3%Census
201510,256▲ +13.0%Census
20209,079—Census
20257,910▼ -12.9%Census
20307,276▼ -19.9%Projection
20356,374▼ -29.8%Projection
20405,477▼ -39.7%Projection
20454,626▼ -49.0%Projection
20503,838▼ -57.7%Projection

About Nose

Overview

Nose (能勢町) is a municipality in Osaka, Japan, with a population of 7,910 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nose

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nose's population is expected to reach 7,276 by 2030 (-19.9%), 5,477 by 2040 (-39.7%), and 3,838 by 2050 (-57.7%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Nose

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 42.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 68.7% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Nose is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #107 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #12 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1428 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Osaka

Earnings in Osaka (大阪府): Average salary in Osaka (大阪府) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nose, Osaka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nose has a population of 7,910.
Q.What is the population of Nose in 2026?
A.Nose's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 7,783. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (7,910) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (7,276).
Q.What is the projected population of Nose in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nose's population is expected to be 7,276 in 2030, 5,477 in 2040, and 3,838 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nose?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nose's population is projected to change by -57.7%. The 10-year change is -19.9% and the 20-year change is -39.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Nose declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nose, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 42.1% to 68.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nose?
A.Nose's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 42.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 68.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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