Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hiroshima広島県

Mashisaeki 広島市佐伯区

Data last updated:

Mashisaeki, Hiroshima, Japan has a population of 137,737 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 137,848 by 2030 and 123,589 by 2050 (a decrease of about 11.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 27.4% in 2020 to 36.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

137,737

2030Projection

137,848

▼ -1.2%

2040Projection

131,347

▼ -5.9%

2050Projection

123,589

▼ -11.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 27.4%→2050 36.7%

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Other municipalities in Hiroshima (広島県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Mashisaeki Population Table (1985–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1985107,656▼ -22.9%Census
1990124,223▼ -11.0%Census
1995132,847▼ -4.8%Census
2000134,713▼ -3.5%Census
2005134,022▼ -4.0%Census
2010135,280▼ -3.1%Census
2015136,699▼ -2.1%Census
2020139,563—Census
2025137,737▼ -1.3%Census
2030137,848▼ -1.2%Projection
2035134,944▼ -3.3%Projection
2040131,347▼ -5.9%Projection
2045127,494▼ -8.6%Projection
2050123,589▼ -11.4%Projection

About Mashisaeki

Overview

Mashisaeki (広島市佐伯区) is a municipality in Hiroshima, Japan, with a population of 137,737 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Mashisaeki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Mashisaeki's population is expected to reach 137,848 by 2030 (-1.2%), 131,347 by 2040 (-5.9%), and 123,589 by 2050 (-11.4%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Mashisaeki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 27.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 36.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Mashisaeki's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1579 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1505 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #297 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hiroshima

Earnings in Hiroshima (広島県): Average salary in Hiroshima (広島県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Mashisaeki, Hiroshima?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Mashisaeki has a population of 137,737.
Q.What is the population of Mashisaeki in 2026?
A.Mashisaeki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 137,759. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (137,737) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (137,848).
Q.What is the projected population of Mashisaeki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Mashisaeki's population is expected to be 137,848 in 2030, 131,347 in 2040, and 123,589 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Mashisaeki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Mashisaeki's population is projected to change by -11.4%. The 10-year change is -1.2% and the 20-year change is -5.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Mashisaeki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Mashisaeki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 27.4% to 36.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Mashisaeki?
A.Mashisaeki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 27.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 36.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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