Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hiroshima広島県

Onomichi 尾道市

Data last updated:

Onomichi, Hiroshima, Japan has a population of 120,215 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 116,375 by 2030 and 87,875 by 2050 (a decrease of about 33.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 36.5% in 2020 to 41.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

120,215

2030Projection

116,375

▼ -11.3%

2040Projection

101,456

▼ -22.7%

2050Projection

87,875

▼ -33.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 36.5%→2050 41.6%

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Other municipalities in Hiroshima (広島県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Onomichi Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980180,901▲ +37.9%Census
1985177,532▲ +35.3%Census
1990166,930▲ +27.3%Census
1995159,890▲ +21.9%Census
2000155,200▲ +18.3%Census
2005150,225▲ +14.5%Census
2010145,202▲ +10.7%Census
2015138,626▲ +5.7%Census
2020131,170—Census
2025120,215▼ -8.4%Census
2030116,375▼ -11.3%Projection
2035108,863▼ -17.0%Projection
2040101,456▼ -22.7%Projection
204594,437▼ -28.0%Projection
205087,875▼ -33.0%Projection

About Onomichi

Overview

Onomichi (尾道市) is a municipality in Hiroshima, Japan, with a population of 120,215 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Onomichi

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Onomichi's population is expected to reach 116,375 by 2030 (-11.3%), 101,456 by 2040 (-22.7%), and 87,875 by 2050 (-33.0%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Onomichi

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 36.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 41.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Onomichi's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #966 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1127 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #338 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hiroshima

Earnings in Hiroshima (広島県): Average salary in Hiroshima (広島県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Onomichi, Hiroshima?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Onomichi has a population of 120,215.
Q.What is the population of Onomichi in 2026?
A.Onomichi's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 119,447. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (120,215) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (116,375).
Q.What is the projected population of Onomichi in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Onomichi's population is expected to be 116,375 in 2030, 101,456 in 2040, and 87,875 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Onomichi?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Onomichi's population is projected to change by -33.0%. The 10-year change is -11.3% and the 20-year change is -22.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Onomichi declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Onomichi, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 36.5% to 41.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Onomichi?
A.Onomichi's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 36.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 41.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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