Tokushima徳島県
Naruto 鳴門市
Data last updated:
Naruto, Tokushima, Japan has a population of 51,000 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 47,902 by 2030 and 33,701 by 2050 (a decrease of about 38.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.3% in 2020 to 47.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)
2025
(Census)
51,000
2030
(Projection)
47,902
▼ -12.3%
2040
(Projection)
40,760
▼ -25.4%
2050
(Projection)
33,701
▼ -38.3%
Change vs. 2020 census
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Other municipalities in Tokushima (徳島県)
Data Sources
- Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
- National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)
* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.
Naruto Population Table (1980–2050)
Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.
| Year | Population | vs 2020 | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | 63,423 | ▲ +16.1% | Census |
| 1985 | 64,329 | ▲ +17.8% | Census |
| 1990 | 64,575 | ▲ +18.2% | Census |
| 1995 | 64,923 | ▲ +18.9% | Census |
| 2000 | 64,620 | ▲ +18.3% | Census |
| 2005 | 63,200 | ▲ +15.7% | Census |
| 2010 | 61,513 | ▲ +12.6% | Census |
| 2015 | 59,101 | ▲ +8.2% | Census |
| 2020 | 54,622 | — | Census |
| 2025 | 51,000 | ▼ -6.6% | Census |
| 2030 | 47,902 | ▼ -12.3% | Projection |
| 2035 | 44,392 | ▼ -18.7% | Projection |
| 2040 | 40,760 | ▼ -25.4% | Projection |
| 2045 | 37,129 | ▼ -32.0% | Projection |
| 2050 | 33,701 | ▼ -38.3% | Projection |
About Naruto
Overview
Naruto (鳴門市) is a municipality in Tokushima, Japan, with a population of 51,000 as of 2025.
Population Projection of Naruto
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Naruto's population is expected to reach 47,902 by 2030 (-12.3%), 40,760 by 2040 (-25.4%), and 33,701 by 2050 (-38.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.
Aging Rate of Naruto
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 47.9% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.
National Comparison
Naruto's population decline rate exceeds the national average.
National and Prefectural Rank
- Population decline rate: Ranked #780 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
- Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #696 out of 1903 nationwide.
- Population size: Ranked #673 out of 1917 nationwide.
- Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tokushima
Earnings in Tokushima (徳島県): Average salary in Tokushima (徳島県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure