Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kagawa香川県

Sakaide 坂出市

Data last updated:

Sakaide, Kagawa, Japan has a population of 47,709 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 45,369 by 2030 and 35,075 by 2050 (a decrease of about 30.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 36.1% in 2020 to 42.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

47,709

2030Projection

45,369

▼ -10.4%

2040Projection

40,124

▼ -20.7%

2050Projection

35,075

▼ -30.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 36.1%→2050 42.2%

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Other municipalities in Kagawa (香川県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Sakaide Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198066,290▲ +30.9%Census
198566,087▲ +30.5%Census
199063,876▲ +26.2%Census
199561,351▲ +21.2%Census
200059,228▲ +17.0%Census
200557,266▲ +13.1%Census
201055,621▲ +9.9%Census
201553,164▲ +5.0%Census
202050,624—Census
202547,709▼ -5.8%Census
203045,369▼ -10.4%Projection
203542,758▼ -15.5%Projection
204040,124▼ -20.7%Projection
204537,488▼ -25.9%Projection
205035,075▼ -30.7%Projection

About Sakaide

Overview

Sakaide (坂出市) is a municipality in Kagawa, Japan, with a population of 47,709 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Sakaide

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Sakaide's population is expected to reach 45,369 by 2030 (-10.4%), 40,124 by 2040 (-20.7%), and 35,075 by 2050 (-30.7%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Sakaide

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 36.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 42.2% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Sakaide's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1032 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1082 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #696 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kagawa

Earnings in Kagawa (香川県): Average salary in Kagawa (香川県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Sakaide, Kagawa?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Sakaide has a population of 47,709.
Q.What is the population of Sakaide in 2026?
A.Sakaide's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 47,241. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (47,709) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (45,369).
Q.What is the projected population of Sakaide in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Sakaide's population is expected to be 45,369 in 2030, 40,124 in 2040, and 35,075 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Sakaide?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Sakaide's population is projected to change by -30.7%. The 10-year change is -10.4% and the 20-year change is -20.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Sakaide declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Sakaide, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 36.1% to 42.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Sakaide?
A.Sakaide's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 36.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 42.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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