Japan Population Decline Simulator

Fukuoka福岡県

Kitakyushu 北九州市

Data last updated:

Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, Japan has a population of 903,592 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 873,315 by 2030 and 728,898 by 2050 (a decrease of about 22.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 31.7% in 2020 to 38.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

903,592

2030

(Projection)

873,315

▼ -7.0%

2040

(Projection)

801,253

▼ -14.7%

2050

(Projection)

728,898

▼ -22.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 31.7%→2050 38.7%

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Other municipalities in Fukuoka (福岡県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kitakyushu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19801,065,078▲ +13.4%Census
19851,056,402▲ +12.5%Census
19901,026,455▲ +9.3%Census
19951,019,598▲ +8.6%Census
20001,011,471▲ +7.7%Census
2005993,525▲ +5.8%Census
2010976,846▲ +4.0%Census
2015961,286▲ +2.4%Census
2020939,029—Census
2025903,592▼ -3.8%Census
2030873,315▼ -7.0%Projection
2035837,844▼ -10.8%Projection
2040801,253▼ -14.7%Projection
2045764,423▼ -18.6%Projection
2050728,898▼ -22.4%Projection

About Kitakyushu

Overview

Kitakyushu (北九州市) is a municipality in Fukuoka, Japan, with a population of 903,592 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kitakyushu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kitakyushu's population is expected to reach 873,315 by 2030 (-7.0%), 801,253 by 2040 (-14.7%), and 728,898 by 2050 (-22.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kitakyushu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 31.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 38.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kitakyushu's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1281 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1364 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #15 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Fukuoka

Earnings in Fukuoka (福岡県): Average salary in Fukuoka (福岡県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kitakyushu, Fukuoka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kitakyushu has a population of 903,592.
Q.What is the population of Kitakyushu in 2026?
A.Kitakyushu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 897,537. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (903,592) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (873,315).
Q.What is the projected population of Kitakyushu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kitakyushu's population is expected to be 873,315 in 2030, 801,253 in 2040, and 728,898 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kitakyushu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kitakyushu's population is projected to change by -22.4%. The 10-year change is -7.0% and the 20-year change is -14.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Kitakyushu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kitakyushu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 31.7% to 38.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kitakyushu?
A.Kitakyushu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 31.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 38.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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