Japan Population Decline Simulator

Fukuoka福岡県

Hakata 福岡市博多区

Data last updated:

Hakata, Fukuoka, Japan has a population of 264,121 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 264,024 by 2030 and 261,251 by 2050 (an increase of about 3.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 18.2% in 2020 to 25.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

264,121

2030

(Projection)

264,024

▲ +4.8%

2040

(Projection)

268,105

▲ +6.4%

2050

(Projection)

261,251

▲ +3.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 18.2%→2050 25.8%

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Other municipalities in Fukuoka (福岡県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Hakata Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980162,367▼ -35.6%Census
1985162,787▼ -35.4%Census
1990165,631▼ -34.3%Census
1995169,319▼ -32.8%Census
2000180,722▼ -28.3%Census
2005195,711▼ -22.3%Census
2010212,527▼ -15.7%Census
2015228,441▼ -9.4%Census
2020252,034—Census
2025264,121▲ +4.8%Census
2030264,024▲ +4.8%Projection
2035267,694▲ +6.2%Projection
2040268,105▲ +6.4%Projection
2045265,490▲ +5.3%Projection
2050261,251▲ +3.7%Projection

About Hakata

Overview

Hakata (福岡市博多区) is a municipality in Fukuoka, Japan, with a population of 264,121 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Hakata

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Hakata's population is expected to reach 264,024 by 2030 (+4.8%), 268,105 by 2040 (+6.4%), and 261,251 by 2050 (+3.7%). Hakata is among the rare Japanese municipalities projected to see population growth.

Aging Rate of Hakata

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 18.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 25.8% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Hakata's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1845 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1886 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #109 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Fukuoka

Earnings in Fukuoka (福岡県): Average salary in Fukuoka (福岡県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Hakata, Fukuoka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Hakata has a population of 264,121.
Q.What is the population of Hakata in 2026?
A.Hakata's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 264,102. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (264,121) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (264,024).
Q.What is the projected population of Hakata in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Hakata's population is expected to be 264,024 in 2030, 268,105 in 2040, and 261,251 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Hakata?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Hakata's population is projected to change by +3.7%. The 10-year change is +4.8% and the 20-year change is +6.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Hakata growing?
A.Municipalities with growing populations typically benefit from net in-migration driven by good access to major metropolitan areas, housing development, and family support policies. Hakata is one of the minority of Japanese municipalities projected to grow through 2050.
Q.What is the aging rate of Hakata?
A.Hakata's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 18.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 25.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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