Japan Population Decline Simulator

Miyazaki宮崎県

Nobeoka 延岡市

Data last updated:

Nobeoka, Miyazaki, Japan has a population of 118,450 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 103,055 by 2030 and 76,142 by 2050 (a decrease of about 35.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 34.7% to 43.4%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

118,450

2030

(Projection)

103,055

-13.0%

2040

(Projection)

89,239

-24.7%

2050

(Projection)

76,142

-35.7%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 34.7%2050 43.4%

Other municipalities in Miyazaki (宮崎県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nobeoka Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
2020118,450Census
2025110,251▼ -6.9%Projection
2030103,055▼ -13.0%Projection
203596,027▼ -18.9%Projection
204089,239▼ -24.7%Projection
204582,570▼ -30.3%Projection
205076,142▼ -35.7%Projection

About Nobeoka

Overview

Nobeoka (延岡市) is a municipality in Miyazaki, Japan, with a population of 118,450 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Nobeoka

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nobeoka's population is expected to reach 103,055 by 2030 (-13.0%), 89,239 by 2040 (-24.7%), and 76,142 by 2050 (-35.7%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nobeoka

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 34.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.4% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nobeoka's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #874 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #994 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #352 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Miyazaki

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nobeoka, Miyazaki?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Nobeoka has a population of 118,450.
Q.What is the population of Nobeoka in 2026?
A.Nobeoka's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 108,812. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (118,450) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (103,055).
Q.What is the projected population of Nobeoka in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nobeoka's population is expected to be 103,055 in 2030, 89,239 in 2040, and 76,142 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nobeoka?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nobeoka's population is projected to change by -35.7%. The 10-year change is -13.0% and the 20-year change is -24.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Nobeoka declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nobeoka, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 34.7% to 43.4% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nobeoka?
A.Nobeoka's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 34.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.4% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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