Japan Population Decline Simulator

Miyazaki宮崎県

Kobayashi 小林市

Data last updated:

Kobayashi, Miyazaki, Japan has a population of 40,003 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 38,553 by 2030 and 28,975 by 2050 (a decrease of about 33.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 37.2% in 2020 to 44.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

40,003

2030Projection

38,553

▼ -11.7%

2040Projection

33,706

▼ -22.8%

2050Projection

28,975

▼ -33.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 37.2%→2050 44.8%

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Other municipalities in Miyazaki (宮崎県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kobayashi Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198052,762▲ +20.8%Census
198553,753▲ +23.1%Census
199053,480▲ +22.5%Census
199552,828▲ +21.0%Census
200051,697▲ +18.4%Census
200549,820▲ +14.1%Census
201048,270▲ +10.5%Census
201546,221▲ +5.8%Census
202043,670—Census
202540,003▼ -8.4%Census
203038,553▼ -11.7%Projection
203536,057▼ -17.4%Projection
204033,706▼ -22.8%Projection
204531,318▼ -28.3%Projection
205028,975▼ -33.7%Projection

About Kobayashi

Overview

Kobayashi (小林市) is a municipality in Miyazaki, Japan, with a population of 40,003 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kobayashi

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kobayashi's population is expected to reach 38,553 by 2030 (-11.7%), 33,706 by 2040 (-22.8%), and 28,975 by 2050 (-33.7%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kobayashi

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 37.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.8% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kobayashi's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #932 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #899 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #781 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Miyazaki

Earnings in Miyazaki (宮崎県): Average salary in Miyazaki (宮崎県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kobayashi, Miyazaki?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kobayashi has a population of 40,003.
Q.What is the population of Kobayashi in 2026?
A.Kobayashi's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 39,713. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (40,003) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (38,553).
Q.What is the projected population of Kobayashi in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kobayashi's population is expected to be 38,553 in 2030, 33,706 in 2040, and 28,975 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kobayashi?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kobayashi's population is projected to change by -33.7%. The 10-year change is -11.7% and the 20-year change is -22.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Kobayashi declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kobayashi, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 37.2% to 44.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kobayashi?
A.Kobayashi's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 37.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 44.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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