Japan Population Decline Simulator

Iwate岩手県

Noda 野田村

Data last updated:

Noda, Iwate, Japan has a population of 3,609 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,293 by 2030 and 2,104 by 2050 (a decrease of about 46.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 38.5% in 2020 to 51.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

3,609

2030

(Projection)

3,293

▼ -16.3%

2040

(Projection)

2,667

▼ -32.2%

2050

(Projection)

2,104

▼ -46.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 38.5%→2050 51.3%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Noda Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19805,304▲ +34.8%Census
19855,382▲ +36.7%Census
19905,285▲ +34.3%Census
19955,204▲ +32.2%Census
20005,195▲ +32.0%Census
20055,019▲ +27.5%Census
20104,632▲ +17.7%Census
20154,149▲ +5.4%Census
20203,936—Census
20253,609▼ -8.3%Census
20303,293▼ -16.3%Projection
20352,971▼ -24.5%Projection
20402,667▼ -32.2%Projection
20452,372▼ -39.7%Projection
20502,104▼ -46.5%Projection

About Noda

Overview

Noda (野田村) is a municipality in Iwate, Japan, with a population of 3,609 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Noda

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Noda's population is expected to reach 3,293 by 2030 (-16.3%), 2,667 by 2040 (-32.2%), and 2,104 by 2050 (-46.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Noda

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 38.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 51.3% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Noda is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #466 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #475 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1684 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Iwate

Earnings in Iwate (岩手県): Average salary in Iwate (岩手県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Noda, Iwate?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Noda has a population of 3,609.
Q.What is the population of Noda in 2026?
A.Noda's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 3,546. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (3,609) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,293).
Q.What is the projected population of Noda in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Noda's population is expected to be 3,293 in 2030, 2,667 in 2040, and 2,104 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Noda?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Noda's population is projected to change by -46.5%. The 10-year change is -16.3% and the 20-year change is -32.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Noda declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Noda, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 38.5% to 51.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Noda?
A.Noda's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 38.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 51.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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