Japan Population Decline Simulator

Ibaraki茨城県

Sakai 境町

Data last updated:

Sakai, Ibaraki, Japan has a population of 23,885 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 22,598 by 2030 and 18,102 by 2050 (a decrease of about 25.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 29.1% in 2020 to 39.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

23,885

2030Projection

22,598

▼ -6.6%

2040Projection

20,424

▼ -15.6%

2050Projection

18,102

▼ -25.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 29.1%→2050 39.6%

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Other municipalities in Ibaraki (茨城県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Sakai Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198025,696▲ +6.2%Census
198526,297▲ +8.7%Census
199026,922▲ +11.2%Census
199527,237▲ +12.5%Census
200027,171▲ +12.3%Census
200526,468▲ +9.4%Census
201025,714▲ +6.3%Census
201524,517▲ +1.3%Census
202024,201—Census
202523,885▼ -1.3%Census
203022,598▼ -6.6%Projection
203521,557▼ -10.9%Projection
204020,424▼ -15.6%Projection
204519,260▼ -20.4%Projection
205018,102▼ -25.2%Projection

About Sakai

Overview

Sakai (境町) is a municipality in Ibaraki, Japan, with a population of 23,885 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Sakai

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Sakai's population is expected to reach 22,598 by 2030 (-6.6%), 20,424 by 2040 (-15.6%), and 18,102 by 2050 (-25.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Sakai

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 29.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 39.6% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Sakai's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1199 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1295 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1009 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Ibaraki

Earnings in Ibaraki (茨城県): Average salary in Ibaraki (茨城県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Sakai, Ibaraki?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Sakai has a population of 23,885.
Q.What is the population of Sakai in 2026?
A.Sakai's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 23,628. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (23,885) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (22,598).
Q.What is the projected population of Sakai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Sakai's population is expected to be 22,598 in 2030, 20,424 in 2040, and 18,102 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Sakai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Sakai's population is projected to change by -25.2%. The 10-year change is -6.6% and the 20-year change is -15.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Sakai declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Sakai, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 29.1% to 39.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Sakai?
A.Sakai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 29.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 39.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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