Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tokyo東京都

Setagaya 世田谷区

Data last updated:

Setagaya, Tokyo, Japan has a population of 954,737 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 964,718 by 2030 and 987,144 by 2050 (an increase of about 4.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 20.3% in 2020 to 29.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

954,737

2030Projection

964,718

▲ +2.2%

2040Projection

987,357

▲ +4.6%

2050Projection

987,144

▲ +4.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 20.3%→2050 29.3%

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Other municipalities in Tokyo (東京都)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Setagaya Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980797,292▼ -15.5%Census
1985811,304▼ -14.0%Census
1990789,051▼ -16.4%Census
1995781,104▼ -17.2%Census
2000814,901▼ -13.6%Census
2005841,165▼ -10.9%Census
2010877,138▼ -7.0%Census
2015903,346▼ -4.3%Census
2020943,664—Census
2025954,737▲ +1.2%Census
2030964,718▲ +2.2%Projection
2035979,143▲ +3.8%Projection
2040987,357▲ +4.6%Projection
2045989,492▲ +4.9%Projection
2050987,144▲ +4.6%Projection

About Setagaya

Overview

Setagaya (世田谷区) is a municipality in Tokyo, Japan, with a population of 954,737 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Setagaya

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Setagaya's population is expected to reach 964,718 by 2030 (+2.2%), 987,357 by 2040 (+4.6%), and 987,144 by 2050 (+4.6%). Setagaya is among the rare Japanese municipalities projected to see population growth.

Aging Rate of Setagaya

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 20.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 29.3% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Setagaya's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1853 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1846 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #14 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tokyo

Earnings in Tokyo (東京都): Average salary in Tokyo (東京都) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Setagaya, Tokyo?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Setagaya has a population of 954,737.
Q.What is the population of Setagaya in 2026?
A.Setagaya's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 956,733. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (954,737) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (964,718).
Q.What is the projected population of Setagaya in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Setagaya's population is expected to be 964,718 in 2030, 987,357 in 2040, and 987,144 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Setagaya?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Setagaya's population is projected to change by +4.6%. The 10-year change is +2.2% and the 20-year change is +4.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Setagaya growing?
A.Municipalities with growing populations typically benefit from net in-migration driven by good access to major metropolitan areas, housing development, and family support policies. Setagaya is one of the minority of Japanese municipalities projected to grow through 2050.
Q.What is the aging rate of Setagaya?
A.Setagaya's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 20.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 29.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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