Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tokyo東京都

Shinjuku 新宿区

Data last updated:

Shinjuku, Tokyo, Japan has a population of 361,357 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 362,247 by 2030 and 364,111 by 2050 (an increase of about 4.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 19.4% in 2020 to 24.4%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

361,357

2030Projection

362,247

▲ +3.7%

2040Projection

368,303

▲ +5.4%

2050Projection

364,111

▲ +4.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 19.4%→2050 24.4%

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Other municipalities in Tokyo (東京都)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Shinjuku Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980343,928▼ -1.6%Census
1985332,722▼ -4.8%Census
1990296,790▼ -15.1%Census
1995279,048▼ -20.1%Census
2000286,726▼ -17.9%Census
2005305,716▼ -12.5%Census
2010326,309▼ -6.6%Census
2015333,560▼ -4.5%Census
2020349,385—Census
2025361,357▲ +3.4%Census
2030362,247▲ +3.7%Projection
2035366,285▲ +4.8%Projection
2040368,303▲ +5.4%Projection
2045367,108▲ +5.1%Projection
2050364,111▲ +4.2%Projection

About Shinjuku

Overview

Shinjuku (新宿区) is a municipality in Tokyo, Japan, with a population of 361,357 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Shinjuku

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shinjuku's population is expected to reach 362,247 by 2030 (+3.7%), 368,303 by 2040 (+5.4%), and 364,111 by 2050 (+4.2%). Shinjuku is among the rare Japanese municipalities projected to see population growth.

Aging Rate of Shinjuku

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 19.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 24.4% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Shinjuku's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1849 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1892 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #66 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tokyo

Earnings in Tokyo (東京都): Average salary in Tokyo (東京都) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Shinjuku, Tokyo?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Shinjuku has a population of 361,357.
Q.What is the population of Shinjuku in 2026?
A.Shinjuku's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 361,535. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (361,357) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (362,247).
Q.What is the projected population of Shinjuku in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Shinjuku's population is expected to be 362,247 in 2030, 368,303 in 2040, and 364,111 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Shinjuku?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Shinjuku's population is projected to change by +4.2%. The 10-year change is +3.7% and the 20-year change is +5.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Shinjuku growing?
A.Municipalities with growing populations typically benefit from net in-migration driven by good access to major metropolitan areas, housing development, and family support policies. Shinjuku is one of the minority of Japanese municipalities projected to grow through 2050.
Q.What is the aging rate of Shinjuku?
A.Shinjuku's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 19.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 24.4% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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