Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tokyo東京都

Suginami 杉並区

Data last updated:

Suginami, Tokyo, Japan has a population of 597,038 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 601,096 by 2030 and 618,595 by 2050 (an increase of about 4.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 21.1% in 2020 to 28.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

597,038

2030Projection

601,096

▲ +1.7%

2040Projection

618,753

▲ +4.7%

2050Projection

618,595

▲ +4.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 21.1%→2050 28.8%

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Other municipalities in Tokyo (東京都)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Suginami Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980542,449▼ -8.2%Census
1985539,842▼ -8.7%Census
1990529,485▼ -10.4%Census
1995515,803▼ -12.7%Census
2000522,103▼ -11.7%Census
2005528,587▼ -10.6%Census
2010549,569▼ -7.0%Census
2015563,997▼ -4.6%Census
2020591,108—Census
2025597,038▲ +1.0%Census
2030601,096▲ +1.7%Projection
2035611,686▲ +3.5%Projection
2040618,753▲ +4.7%Projection
2045620,662▲ +5.0%Projection
2050618,595▲ +4.7%Projection

About Suginami

Overview

Suginami (杉並区) is a municipality in Tokyo, Japan, with a population of 597,038 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Suginami

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Suginami's population is expected to reach 601,096 by 2030 (+1.7%), 618,753 by 2040 (+4.7%), and 618,595 by 2050 (+4.7%). Suginami is among the rare Japanese municipalities projected to see population growth.

Aging Rate of Suginami

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 21.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 28.8% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Suginami's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1855 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1855 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #28 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tokyo

Earnings in Tokyo (東京都): Average salary in Tokyo (東京都) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Suginami, Tokyo?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Suginami has a population of 597,038.
Q.What is the population of Suginami in 2026?
A.Suginami's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 597,850. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (597,038) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (601,096).
Q.What is the projected population of Suginami in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Suginami's population is expected to be 601,096 in 2030, 618,753 in 2040, and 618,595 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Suginami?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Suginami's population is projected to change by +4.7%. The 10-year change is +1.7% and the 20-year change is +4.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Suginami growing?
A.Municipalities with growing populations typically benefit from net in-migration driven by good access to major metropolitan areas, housing development, and family support policies. Suginami is one of the minority of Japanese municipalities projected to grow through 2050.
Q.What is the aging rate of Suginami?
A.Suginami's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 21.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 28.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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