Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aichi愛知県

Nakagawa 名古屋市中川区

Data last updated:

Nakagawa, Aichi, Japan has a population of 216,424 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 210,649 by 2030 and 190,378 by 2050 (a decrease of about 13.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 25.3% in 2020 to 34.5%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

216,424

2030Projection

210,649

▼ -4.6%

2040Projection

201,298

▼ -8.8%

2050Projection

190,378

▼ -13.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 25.3%→2050 34.5%

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Other municipalities in Aichi (愛知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nakagawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980191,450▼ -13.3%Census
1985193,004▼ -12.6%Census
1990200,111▼ -9.3%Census
1995206,678▼ -6.4%Census
2000209,982▼ -4.9%Census
2005215,809▼ -2.2%Census
2010221,521▲ +0.4%Census
2015220,281▼ -0.2%Census
2020220,728—Census
2025216,424▼ -1.9%Census
2030210,649▼ -4.6%Projection
2035206,213▼ -6.6%Projection
2040201,298▼ -8.8%Projection
2045195,952▼ -11.2%Projection
2050190,378▼ -13.7%Projection

About Nakagawa

Overview

Nakagawa (名古屋市中川区) is a municipality in Aichi, Japan, with a population of 216,424 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nakagawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nakagawa's population is expected to reach 210,649 by 2030 (-4.6%), 201,298 by 2040 (-8.8%), and 190,378 by 2050 (-13.7%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Nakagawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 25.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 34.5% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Nakagawa's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1516 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1644 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #160 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aichi

Earnings in Aichi (愛知県): Average salary in Aichi (愛知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nakagawa, Aichi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nakagawa has a population of 216,424.
Q.What is the population of Nakagawa in 2026?
A.Nakagawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 215,269. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (216,424) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (210,649).
Q.What is the projected population of Nakagawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nakagawa's population is expected to be 210,649 in 2030, 201,298 in 2040, and 190,378 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nakagawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nakagawa's population is projected to change by -13.7%. The 10-year change is -4.6% and the 20-year change is -8.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Nakagawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nakagawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 25.3% to 34.5% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nakagawa?
A.Nakagawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 25.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 34.5% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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