Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aichi愛知県

Ichinomiya 一宮市

Data last updated:

Ichinomiya, Aichi, Japan has a population of 368,788 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 361,238 by 2030 and 321,749 by 2050 (a decrease of about 15.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 27.6% in 2020 to 38.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

368,788

2030Projection

361,238

▼ -5.0%

2040Projection

342,345

▼ -9.9%

2050Projection

321,749

▼ -15.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 27.6%→2050 38%

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Other municipalities in Aichi (愛知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Ichinomiya Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980335,465▼ -11.7%Census
1985341,384▼ -10.2%Census
1990346,972▼ -8.7%Census
1995353,999▼ -6.9%Census
2000362,726▼ -4.6%Census
2005371,687▼ -2.2%Census
2010378,566▼ -0.4%Census
2015380,868▲ +0.2%Census
2020380,073—Census
2025368,788▼ -3.0%Census
2030361,238▼ -5.0%Projection
2035352,162▼ -7.3%Projection
2040342,345▼ -9.9%Projection
2045332,241▼ -12.6%Projection
2050321,749▼ -15.3%Projection

About Ichinomiya

Overview

Ichinomiya (一宮市) is a municipality in Aichi, Japan, with a population of 368,788 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Ichinomiya

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Ichinomiya's population is expected to reach 361,238 by 2030 (-5.0%), 342,345 by 2040 (-9.9%), and 321,749 by 2050 (-15.3%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Ichinomiya

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 27.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 38.0% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Ichinomiya's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1473 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1403 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #61 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aichi

Earnings in Aichi (愛知県): Average salary in Aichi (愛知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Ichinomiya, Aichi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Ichinomiya has a population of 368,788.
Q.What is the population of Ichinomiya in 2026?
A.Ichinomiya's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 367,278. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (368,788) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (361,238).
Q.What is the projected population of Ichinomiya in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Ichinomiya's population is expected to be 361,238 in 2030, 342,345 in 2040, and 321,749 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Ichinomiya?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Ichinomiya's population is projected to change by -15.3%. The 10-year change is -5.0% and the 20-year change is -9.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Ichinomiya declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Ichinomiya, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 27.6% to 38.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Ichinomiya?
A.Ichinomiya's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 27.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 38.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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