Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aichi愛知県

Okazaki 岡崎市

Data last updated:

Okazaki, Aichi, Japan has a population of 377,631 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 382,749 by 2030 and 355,210 by 2050 (a decrease of about 7.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 23.6% in 2020 to 33.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

377,631

2030Projection

382,749

▼ -0.5%

2040Projection

372,264

▼ -3.2%

2050Projection

355,210

▼ -7.7%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 23.6%→2050 33.7%

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Other municipalities in Aichi (愛知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Okazaki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980271,243▼ -29.5%Census
1985294,406▼ -23.5%Census
1990316,334▼ -17.8%Census
1995332,136▼ -13.7%Census
2000345,997▼ -10.0%Census
2005363,807▼ -5.4%Census
2010372,357▼ -3.2%Census
2015381,051▼ -0.9%Census
2020384,654—Census
2025377,631▼ -1.8%Census
2030382,749▼ -0.5%Projection
2035378,469▼ -1.6%Projection
2040372,264▼ -3.2%Projection
2045364,368▼ -5.3%Projection
2050355,210▼ -7.7%Projection

About Okazaki

Overview

Okazaki (岡崎市) is a municipality in Aichi, Japan, with a population of 377,631 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Okazaki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Okazaki's population is expected to reach 382,749 by 2030 (-0.5%), 372,264 by 2040 (-3.2%), and 355,210 by 2050 (-7.7%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Okazaki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 23.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 33.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Okazaki's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1669 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1689 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #60 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aichi

Earnings in Aichi (愛知県): Average salary in Aichi (愛知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Okazaki, Aichi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Okazaki has a population of 377,631.
Q.What is the population of Okazaki in 2026?
A.Okazaki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 378,655. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (377,631) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (382,749).
Q.What is the projected population of Okazaki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Okazaki's population is expected to be 382,749 in 2030, 372,264 in 2040, and 355,210 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Okazaki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Okazaki's population is projected to change by -7.7%. The 10-year change is -0.5% and the 20-year change is -3.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Okazaki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Okazaki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 23.6% to 33.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Okazaki?
A.Okazaki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 23.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 33.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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