Japan Population Decline Simulator

Aichi愛知県

Kasugai 春日井市

Data last updated:

Kasugai, Aichi, Japan has a population of 302,914 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 301,375 by 2030 and 273,342 by 2050 (a decrease of about 11.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 26.2% in 2020 to 34.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

302,914

2030Projection

301,375

▼ -2.4%

2040Projection

288,021

▼ -6.7%

2050Projection

273,342

▼ -11.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 26.2%→2050 34.7%

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Other municipalities in Aichi (愛知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kasugai Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980244,119▼ -20.9%Census
1985256,990▼ -16.7%Census
1990266,599▼ -13.6%Census
1995277,589▼ -10.1%Census
2000287,623▼ -6.8%Census
2005295,802▼ -4.2%Census
2010305,569▼ -1.0%Census
2015306,508▼ -0.7%Census
2020308,681—Census
2025302,914▼ -1.9%Census
2030301,375▼ -2.4%Projection
2035295,041▼ -4.4%Projection
2040288,021▼ -6.7%Projection
2045280,808▼ -9.0%Projection
2050273,342▼ -11.4%Projection

About Kasugai

Overview

Kasugai (春日井市) is a municipality in Aichi, Japan, with a population of 302,914 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kasugai

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kasugai's population is expected to reach 301,375 by 2030 (-2.4%), 288,021 by 2040 (-6.7%), and 273,342 by 2050 (-11.4%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Kasugai

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 26.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 34.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kasugai's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1577 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1631 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #90 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Aichi

Earnings in Aichi (愛知県): Average salary in Aichi (愛知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kasugai, Aichi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kasugai has a population of 302,914.
Q.What is the population of Kasugai in 2026?
A.Kasugai's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 302,606. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (302,914) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (301,375).
Q.What is the projected population of Kasugai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kasugai's population is expected to be 301,375 in 2030, 288,021 in 2040, and 273,342 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kasugai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kasugai's population is projected to change by -11.4%. The 10-year change is -2.4% and the 20-year change is -6.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Kasugai declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kasugai, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 26.2% to 34.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kasugai?
A.Kasugai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 26.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 34.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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