Japan Population Decline Simulator

Osaka大阪府

Hirano 大阪市平野区

Data last updated:

Hirano, Osaka, Japan has a population of 182,480 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 173,573 by 2030 and 139,143 by 2050 (a decrease of about 27.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 29.3% in 2020 to 43.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

182,480

2030

(Projection)

173,573

▼ -9.7%

2040

(Projection)

156,063

▼ -18.8%

2050

(Projection)

139,143

▼ -27.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 29.3%→2050 43%

Enter your age

See the population of 大阪市平野区 when you turn 50, 60, 70 and 80.

years old

Other municipalities in Osaka (大阪府)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Hirano Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980198,880▲ +3.5%Census
1985196,203▲ +2.1%Census
1990198,543▲ +3.3%Census
1995200,556▲ +4.4%Census
2000201,722▲ +5.0%Census
2005200,678▲ +4.4%Census
2010200,005▲ +4.1%Census
2015196,633▲ +2.3%Census
2020192,152—Census
2025182,480▼ -5.0%Census
2030173,573▼ -9.7%Projection
2035164,767▼ -14.3%Projection
2040156,063▼ -18.8%Projection
2045147,604▼ -23.2%Projection
2050139,143▼ -27.6%Projection

About Hirano

Overview

Hirano (大阪市平野区) is a municipality in Osaka, Japan, with a population of 182,480 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Hirano

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Hirano's population is expected to reach 173,573 by 2030 (-9.7%), 156,063 by 2040 (-18.8%), and 139,143 by 2050 (-27.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Hirano

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 29.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Hirano's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1130 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1019 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #203 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Osaka

Earnings in Osaka (大阪府): Average salary in Osaka (大阪府) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Hirano, Osaka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Hirano has a population of 182,480.
Q.What is the population of Hirano in 2026?
A.Hirano's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 180,699. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (182,480) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (173,573).
Q.What is the projected population of Hirano in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Hirano's population is expected to be 173,573 in 2030, 156,063 in 2040, and 139,143 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Hirano?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Hirano's population is projected to change by -27.6%. The 10-year change is -9.7% and the 20-year change is -18.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Hirano declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Hirano, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 29.3% to 43.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Hirano?
A.Hirano's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 29.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Osaka

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page