Japan Population Decline Simulator

Osaka大阪府

Kadoma 門真市

Data last updated:

Kadoma, Osaka, Japan has a population of 111,722 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 106,809 by 2030 and 79,332 by 2050 (a decrease of about 33.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.3% in 2020 to 42.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

111,722

2030

(Projection)

106,809

▼ -10.8%

2040

(Projection)

92,474

▼ -22.8%

2050

(Projection)

79,332

▼ -33.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.3%→2050 42.2%

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Other municipalities in Osaka (大阪府)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kadoma Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980138,902▲ +16.0%Census
1985140,590▲ +17.4%Census
1990142,297▲ +18.8%Census
1995140,506▲ +17.3%Census
2000135,648▲ +13.3%Census
2005131,706▲ +10.0%Census
2010130,282▲ +8.8%Census
2015123,576▲ +3.2%Census
2020119,764—Census
2025111,722▼ -6.7%Census
2030106,809▼ -10.8%Projection
203599,559▼ -16.9%Projection
204092,474▼ -22.8%Projection
204585,731▼ -28.4%Projection
205079,332▼ -33.8%Projection

About Kadoma

Overview

Kadoma (門真市) is a municipality in Osaka, Japan, with a population of 111,722 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kadoma

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kadoma's population is expected to reach 106,809 by 2030 (-10.8%), 92,474 by 2040 (-22.8%), and 79,332 by 2050 (-33.8%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kadoma

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 42.2% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kadoma's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #929 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1080 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #369 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Osaka

Earnings in Osaka (大阪府): Average salary in Osaka (大阪府) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kadoma, Osaka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kadoma has a population of 111,722.
Q.What is the population of Kadoma in 2026?
A.Kadoma's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 110,739. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (111,722) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (106,809).
Q.What is the projected population of Kadoma in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kadoma's population is expected to be 106,809 in 2030, 92,474 in 2040, and 79,332 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kadoma?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kadoma's population is projected to change by -33.8%. The 10-year change is -10.8% and the 20-year change is -22.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Kadoma declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kadoma, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.3% to 42.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kadoma?
A.Kadoma's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 42.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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