Japan Population Decline Simulator

Osaka大阪府

Matsubara 松原市

Data last updated:

Matsubara, Osaka, Japan has a population of 114,720 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 105,784 by 2030 and 80,074 by 2050 (a decrease of about 31.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.9% in 2020 to 43.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

114,720

2030

(Projection)

105,784

▼ -10.1%

2040

(Projection)

92,584

▼ -21.3%

2050

(Projection)

80,074

▼ -31.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.9%→2050 43%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Matsubara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980135,849▲ +15.5%Census
1985136,455▲ +16.0%Census
1990135,919▲ +15.5%Census
1995134,457▲ +14.3%Census
2000132,562▲ +12.7%Census
2005127,276▲ +8.2%Census
2010124,594▲ +5.9%Census
2015120,750▲ +2.6%Census
2020117,641—Census
2025114,720▼ -2.5%Census
2030105,784▼ -10.1%Projection
203599,161▼ -15.7%Projection
204092,584▼ -21.3%Projection
204586,221▼ -26.7%Projection
205080,074▼ -31.9%Projection

About Matsubara

Overview

Matsubara (松原市) is a municipality in Osaka, Japan, with a population of 114,720 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Matsubara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Matsubara's population is expected to reach 105,784 by 2030 (-10.1%), 92,584 by 2040 (-21.3%), and 80,074 by 2050 (-31.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Matsubara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Matsubara's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #994 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1020 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #356 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Osaka

Earnings in Osaka (大阪府): Average salary in Osaka (大阪府) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Matsubara, Osaka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Matsubara has a population of 114,720.
Q.What is the population of Matsubara in 2026?
A.Matsubara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 112,933. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (114,720) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (105,784).
Q.What is the projected population of Matsubara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Matsubara's population is expected to be 105,784 in 2030, 92,584 in 2040, and 80,074 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Matsubara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Matsubara's population is projected to change by -31.9%. The 10-year change is -10.1% and the 20-year change is -21.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Matsubara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Matsubara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.9% to 43.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Matsubara?
A.Matsubara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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