Japan Population Decline Simulator

Osaka大阪府

Suminoe 大阪市住之江区

Data last updated:

Suminoe, Osaka, Japan has a population of 115,052 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 109,979 by 2030 and 85,058 by 2050 (a decrease of about 29.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 31.3% in 2020 to 43.4%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

115,052

2030

(Projection)

109,979

▼ -8.4%

2040

(Projection)

97,639

▼ -18.7%

2050

(Projection)

85,058

▼ -29.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 31.3%→2050 43.4%

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Other municipalities in Osaka (大阪府)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Suminoe Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980115,227▼ -4.0%Census
1985135,923▲ +13.2%Census
1990140,830▲ +17.3%Census
1995138,944▲ +15.7%Census
2000135,437▲ +12.8%Census
2005130,627▲ +8.8%Census
2010127,210▲ +5.9%Census
2015122,988▲ +2.4%Census
2020120,072—Census
2025115,052▼ -4.2%Census
2030109,979▼ -8.4%Projection
2035103,950▼ -13.4%Projection
204097,639▼ -18.7%Projection
204591,223▼ -24.0%Projection
205085,058▼ -29.2%Projection

About Suminoe

Overview

Suminoe (大阪市住之江区) is a municipality in Osaka, Japan, with a population of 115,052 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Suminoe

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Suminoe's population is expected to reach 109,979 by 2030 (-8.4%), 97,639 by 2040 (-18.7%), and 85,058 by 2050 (-29.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Suminoe

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 31.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.4% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Suminoe's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1083 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #990 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #355 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Osaka

Earnings in Osaka (大阪府): Average salary in Osaka (大阪府) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Suminoe, Osaka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Suminoe has a population of 115,052.
Q.What is the population of Suminoe in 2026?
A.Suminoe's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 114,037. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (115,052) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (109,979).
Q.What is the projected population of Suminoe in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Suminoe's population is expected to be 109,979 in 2030, 97,639 in 2040, and 85,058 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Suminoe?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Suminoe's population is projected to change by -29.2%. The 10-year change is -8.4% and the 20-year change is -18.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Suminoe declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Suminoe, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 31.3% to 43.4% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Suminoe?
A.Suminoe's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 31.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.4% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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