Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hyogo兵庫県

Nagata 神戸市長田区

Data last updated:

Nagata, Hyogo, Japan has a population of 92,901 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 86,929 by 2030 and 70,236 by 2050 (a decrease of about 25.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.0% in 2020 to 43.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

92,901

2030

(Projection)

86,929

▼ -8.3%

2040

(Projection)

78,505

▼ -17.2%

2050

(Projection)

70,236

▼ -25.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35%→2050 43%

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Other municipalities in Hyogo (兵庫県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nagata Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980163,949▲ +73.0%Census
1985148,590▲ +56.8%Census
1990136,884▲ +44.4%Census
199596,807▲ +2.1%Census
2000105,464▲ +11.3%Census
2005103,791▲ +9.5%Census
2010101,624▲ +7.2%Census
201597,912▲ +3.3%Census
202094,791—Census
202592,901▼ -2.0%Census
203086,929▼ -8.3%Projection
203582,770▼ -12.7%Projection
204078,505▼ -17.2%Projection
204574,310▼ -21.6%Projection
205070,236▼ -25.9%Projection

About Nagata

Overview

Nagata (神戸市長田区) is a municipality in Hyogo, Japan, with a population of 92,901 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nagata

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nagata's population is expected to reach 86,929 by 2030 (-8.3%), 78,505 by 2040 (-17.2%), and 70,236 by 2050 (-25.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nagata

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nagata's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1181 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1021 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #441 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hyogo

Earnings in Hyogo (兵庫県): Average salary in Hyogo (兵庫県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nagata, Hyogo?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nagata has a population of 92,901.
Q.What is the population of Nagata in 2026?
A.Nagata's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 91,707. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (92,901) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (86,929).
Q.What is the projected population of Nagata in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nagata's population is expected to be 86,929 in 2030, 78,505 in 2040, and 70,236 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nagata?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nagata's population is projected to change by -25.9%. The 10-year change is -8.3% and the 20-year change is -17.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Nagata declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nagata, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.0% to 43.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nagata?
A.Nagata's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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