Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hyogo兵庫県

Tarumi 神戸市垂水区

Data last updated:

Tarumi, Hyogo, Japan has a population of 206,457 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 196,359 by 2030 and 163,753 by 2050 (a decrease of about 23.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 31.0% in 2020 to 40.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

206,457

2030

(Projection)

196,359

▼ -8.8%

2040

(Projection)

179,249

▼ -16.7%

2050

(Projection)

163,753

▼ -23.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 31%→2050 40.9%

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Other municipalities in Hyogo (兵庫県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Tarumi Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980299,700▲ +39.2%Census
1985224,212▲ +4.1%Census
1990235,254▲ +9.3%Census
1995240,203▲ +11.6%Census
2000226,230▲ +5.1%Census
2005222,729▲ +3.4%Census
2010220,411▲ +2.4%Census
2015219,474▲ +1.9%Census
2020215,302—Census
2025206,457▼ -4.1%Census
2030196,359▼ -8.8%Projection
2035187,753▼ -12.8%Projection
2040179,249▼ -16.7%Projection
2045171,318▼ -20.4%Projection
2050163,753▼ -23.9%Projection

About Tarumi

Overview

Tarumi (神戸市垂水区) is a municipality in Hyogo, Japan, with a population of 206,457 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tarumi

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tarumi's population is expected to reach 196,359 by 2030 (-8.8%), 179,249 by 2040 (-16.7%), and 163,753 by 2050 (-23.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Tarumi

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 31.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 40.9% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Tarumi's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1240 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1184 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #171 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hyogo

Earnings in Hyogo (兵庫県): Average salary in Hyogo (兵庫県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tarumi, Hyogo?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tarumi has a population of 206,457.
Q.What is the population of Tarumi in 2026?
A.Tarumi's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 204,437. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (206,457) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (196,359).
Q.What is the projected population of Tarumi in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tarumi's population is expected to be 196,359 in 2030, 179,249 in 2040, and 163,753 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tarumi?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tarumi's population is projected to change by -23.9%. The 10-year change is -8.8% and the 20-year change is -16.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Tarumi declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tarumi, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 31.0% to 40.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tarumi?
A.Tarumi's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 31.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 40.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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