Japan Population Decline Simulator

Wakayama和歌山県

Gobou 御坊市

Data last updated:

Gobou, Wakayama, Japan has a population of 20,986 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 20,516 by 2030 and 14,966 by 2050 (a decrease of about 36.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 31.6% in 2020 to 46.4%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

20,986

2030

(Projection)

20,516

▼ -12.6%

2040

(Projection)

17,707

▼ -24.6%

2050

(Projection)

14,966

▼ -36.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 31.6%→2050 46.4%

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Other municipalities in Wakayama (和歌山県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Gobou Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198030,398▲ +29.5%Census
198530,450▲ +29.7%Census
199029,133▲ +24.1%Census
199528,510▲ +21.4%Census
200028,034▲ +19.4%Census
200527,053▲ +15.2%Census
201026,111▲ +11.2%Census
201524,801▲ +5.6%Census
202023,481—Census
202520,986▼ -10.6%Census
203020,516▼ -12.6%Projection
203519,097▼ -18.7%Projection
204017,707▼ -24.6%Projection
204516,341▼ -30.4%Projection
205014,966▼ -36.3%Projection

About Gobou

Overview

Gobou (御坊市) is a municipality in Wakayama, Japan, with a population of 20,986 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Gobou

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Gobou's population is expected to reach 20,516 by 2030 (-12.6%), 17,707 by 2040 (-24.6%), and 14,966 by 2050 (-36.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Gobou

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 31.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 46.4% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Gobou's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #851 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #793 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1057 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Wakayama

Earnings in Wakayama (和歌山県): Average salary in Wakayama (和歌山県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Gobou, Wakayama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Gobou has a population of 20,986.
Q.What is the population of Gobou in 2026?
A.Gobou's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 20,892. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (20,986) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (20,516).
Q.What is the projected population of Gobou in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Gobou's population is expected to be 20,516 in 2030, 17,707 in 2040, and 14,966 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Gobou?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Gobou's population is projected to change by -36.3%. The 10-year change is -12.6% and the 20-year change is -24.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Gobou declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Gobou, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 31.6% to 46.4% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Gobou?
A.Gobou's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 31.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 46.4% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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