Japan Population Decline Simulator

Wakayama和歌山県

Hirogawa 広川町

Data last updated:

Hirogawa, Wakayama, Japan has a population of 6,094 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 5,839 by 2030 and 3,941 by 2050 (a decrease of about 41.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.7% in 2020 to 50.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

6,094

2030

(Projection)

5,839

▼ -13.9%

2040

(Projection)

4,876

▼ -28.1%

2050

(Projection)

3,941

▼ -41.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35.7%→2050 50.2%

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Other municipalities in Wakayama (和歌山県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Hirogawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19809,178▲ +35.3%Census
19859,003▲ +32.8%Census
19908,809▲ +29.9%Census
19958,735▲ +28.8%Census
20008,361▲ +23.3%Census
20058,071▲ +19.0%Census
20107,714▲ +13.8%Census
20157,224▲ +6.5%Census
20206,781—Census
20256,094▼ -10.1%Census
20305,839▼ -13.9%Projection
20355,357▼ -21.0%Projection
20404,876▼ -28.1%Projection
20454,389▼ -35.3%Projection
20503,941▼ -41.9%Projection

About Hirogawa

Overview

Hirogawa (広川町) is a municipality in Wakayama, Japan, with a population of 6,094 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Hirogawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Hirogawa's population is expected to reach 5,839 by 2030 (-13.9%), 4,876 by 2040 (-28.1%), and 3,941 by 2050 (-41.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Hirogawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 50.2% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Hirogawa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #657 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #546 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1525 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Wakayama

Earnings in Wakayama (和歌山県): Average salary in Wakayama (和歌山県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Hirogawa, Wakayama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Hirogawa has a population of 6,094.
Q.What is the population of Hirogawa in 2026?
A.Hirogawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 6,043. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (6,094) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (5,839).
Q.What is the projected population of Hirogawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Hirogawa's population is expected to be 5,839 in 2030, 4,876 in 2040, and 3,941 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Hirogawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Hirogawa's population is projected to change by -41.9%. The 10-year change is -13.9% and the 20-year change is -28.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Hirogawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Hirogawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.7% to 50.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Hirogawa?
A.Hirogawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 50.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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