Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tottori鳥取県

Tottori 鳥取市

Data last updated:

Tottori, Tottori, Japan has a population of 179,243 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 173,354 by 2030 and 142,787 by 2050 (a decrease of about 24.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 29.4% in 2020 to 39.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

179,243

2030

(Projection)

173,354

▼ -8.0%

2040

(Projection)

158,567

▼ -15.9%

2050

(Projection)

142,787

▼ -24.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 29.4%→2050 39.2%

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Other municipalities in Tottori (鳥取県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Tottori Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980184,601▼ -2.1%Census
1985190,836▲ +1.3%Census
1990195,707▲ +3.8%Census
1995197,959▲ +5.0%Census
2000200,744▲ +6.5%Census
2005201,740▲ +7.0%Census
2010197,449▲ +4.8%Census
2015193,717▲ +2.8%Census
2020188,465—Census
2025179,243▼ -4.9%Census
2030173,354▼ -8.0%Projection
2035166,071▼ -11.9%Projection
2040158,567▼ -15.9%Projection
2045150,737▼ -20.0%Projection
2050142,787▼ -24.2%Projection

About Tottori

Overview

Tottori (鳥取市) is a municipality in Tottori, Japan, with a population of 179,243 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tottori

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tottori's population is expected to reach 173,354 by 2030 (-8.0%), 158,567 by 2040 (-15.9%), and 142,787 by 2050 (-24.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Tottori

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 29.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 39.2% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Tottori's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1233 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1325 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #210 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tottori

Earnings in Tottori (鳥取県): Average salary in Tottori (鳥取県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tottori, Tottori?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tottori has a population of 179,243.
Q.What is the population of Tottori in 2026?
A.Tottori's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 178,065. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (179,243) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (173,354).
Q.What is the projected population of Tottori in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tottori's population is expected to be 173,354 in 2030, 158,567 in 2040, and 142,787 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tottori?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tottori's population is projected to change by -24.2%. The 10-year change is -8.0% and the 20-year change is -15.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Tottori declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tottori, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 29.4% to 39.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tottori?
A.Tottori's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 29.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 39.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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