Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tottori鳥取県

Hokuei 北栄町

Data last updated:

Hokuei, Tottori, Japan has a population of 13,469 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 12,603 by 2030 and 9,189 by 2050 (a decrease of about 35.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.6% in 2020 to 46.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

13,469

2030

(Projection)

12,603

▼ -11.4%

2040

(Projection)

10,876

▼ -23.6%

2050

(Projection)

9,189

▼ -35.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35.6%→2050 46.2%

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Other municipalities in Tottori (鳥取県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Hokuei Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198015,772▲ +10.9%Census
198516,929▲ +19.0%Census
199017,155▲ +20.6%Census
199517,228▲ +21.1%Census
200016,915▲ +18.9%Census
200516,052▲ +12.8%Census
201015,442▲ +8.5%Census
201514,820▲ +4.2%Census
202014,228—Census
202513,469▼ -5.3%Census
203012,603▼ -11.4%Projection
203511,734▼ -17.5%Projection
204010,876▼ -23.6%Projection
204510,029▼ -29.5%Projection
20509,189▼ -35.4%Projection

About Hokuei

Overview

Hokuei (北栄町) is a municipality in Tottori, Japan, with a population of 13,469 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Hokuei

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Hokuei's population is expected to reach 12,603 by 2030 (-11.4%), 10,876 by 2040 (-23.6%), and 9,189 by 2050 (-35.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Hokuei

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 46.2% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Hokuei's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #883 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #811 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1230 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tottori

Earnings in Tottori (鳥取県): Average salary in Tottori (鳥取県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Hokuei, Tottori?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Hokuei has a population of 13,469.
Q.What is the population of Hokuei in 2026?
A.Hokuei's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 13,296. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (13,469) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (12,603).
Q.What is the projected population of Hokuei in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Hokuei's population is expected to be 12,603 in 2030, 10,876 in 2040, and 9,189 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Hokuei?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Hokuei's population is projected to change by -35.4%. The 10-year change is -11.4% and the 20-year change is -23.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Hokuei declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Hokuei, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.6% to 46.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Hokuei?
A.Hokuei's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 46.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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