Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tottori鳥取県

Nichinan 日南町

Data last updated:

Nichinan, Tottori, Japan has a population of 3,582 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,177 by 2030 and 1,765 by 2050 (a decrease of about 57.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 52.2% in 2020 to 57.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

3,582

2030

(Projection)

3,177

▼ -24.3%

2040

(Projection)

2,396

▼ -42.9%

2050

(Projection)

1,765

▼ -57.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 52.2%→2050 57.3%

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Other municipalities in Tottori (鳥取県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nichinan Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19808,889▲ +111.8%Census
19858,470▲ +101.9%Census
19907,974▲ +90.0%Census
19957,382▲ +75.9%Census
20006,696▲ +59.6%Census
20056,112▲ +45.7%Census
20105,460▲ +30.1%Census
20154,765▲ +13.6%Census
20204,196—Census
20253,582▼ -14.6%Census
20303,177▼ -24.3%Projection
20352,752▼ -34.4%Projection
20402,396▼ -42.9%Projection
20452,066▼ -50.8%Projection
20501,765▼ -57.9%Projection

About Nichinan

Overview

Nichinan (日南町) is a municipality in Tottori, Japan, with a population of 3,582 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nichinan

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nichinan's population is expected to reach 3,177 by 2030 (-24.3%), 2,396 by 2040 (-42.9%), and 1,765 by 2050 (-57.9%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Nichinan

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 52.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 57.3% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Nichinan is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #101 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #189 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1687 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tottori

Earnings in Tottori (鳥取県): Average salary in Tottori (鳥取県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nichinan, Tottori?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nichinan has a population of 3,582.
Q.What is the population of Nichinan in 2026?
A.Nichinan's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 3,501. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (3,582) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,177).
Q.What is the projected population of Nichinan in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nichinan's population is expected to be 3,177 in 2030, 2,396 in 2040, and 1,765 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nichinan?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nichinan's population is projected to change by -57.9%. The 10-year change is -24.3% and the 20-year change is -42.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Nichinan declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nichinan, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 52.2% to 57.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nichinan?
A.Nichinan's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 52.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 57.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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