Japan Population Decline Simulator

Okayama岡山県

Kita 岡山市北区

Data last updated:

Kita, Okayama, Japan has a population of 310,929 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 312,946 by 2030 and 288,681 by 2050 (a decrease of about 8.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 24.2% in 2020 to 32.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

310,929

2030Projection

312,946

▼ -0.5%

2040Projection

303,389

▼ -3.5%

2050Projection

288,681

▼ -8.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 24.2%→2050 32.7%

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Other municipalities in Okayama (岡山県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kita Population Table (2010–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
2010302,685▼ -3.8%Census
2015309,484▼ -1.6%Census
2020314,523—Census
2025310,929▼ -1.1%Census
2030312,946▼ -0.5%Projection
2035309,200▼ -1.7%Projection
2040303,389▼ -3.5%Projection
2045296,138▼ -5.8%Projection
2050288,681▼ -8.2%Projection

About Kita

Overview

Kita (岡山市北区) is a municipality in Okayama, Japan, with a population of 310,929 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kita

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kita's population is expected to reach 312,946 by 2030 (-0.5%), 303,389 by 2040 (-3.5%), and 288,681 by 2050 (-8.2%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Kita

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 24.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 32.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kita's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1658 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1749 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #81 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Okayama

Earnings in Okayama (岡山県): Average salary in Okayama (岡山県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kita, Okayama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kita has a population of 310,929.
Q.What is the population of Kita in 2026?
A.Kita's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 311,332. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (310,929) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (312,946).
Q.What is the projected population of Kita in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kita's population is expected to be 312,946 in 2030, 303,389 in 2040, and 288,681 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kita?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kita's population is projected to change by -8.2%. The 10-year change is -0.5% and the 20-year change is -3.5%.
Q.Why is the population of Kita declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kita, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 24.2% to 32.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kita?
A.Kita's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 24.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 32.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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