Japan Population Decline Simulator

Okayama岡山県

Mimasaka 美作市

Data last updated:

Mimasaka, Okayama, Japan has a population of 23,106 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 21,839 by 2030 and 14,927 by 2050 (a decrease of about 42.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 41.8% in 2020 to 49.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

23,106

2030Projection

21,839

▼ -15.8%

2040Projection

18,234

▼ -29.7%

2050Projection

14,927

▼ -42.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 41.8%→2050 49.1%

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Other municipalities in Okayama (岡山県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Mimasaka Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198038,430▲ +48.2%Census
198538,309▲ +47.7%Census
199036,942▲ +42.4%Census
199536,140▲ +39.3%Census
200034,577▲ +33.3%Census
200532,479▲ +25.2%Census
201030,498▲ +17.6%Census
201527,977▲ +7.9%Census
202025,939—Census
202523,106▼ -10.9%Census
203021,839▼ -15.8%Projection
203519,989▼ -22.9%Projection
204018,234▼ -29.7%Projection
204516,526▼ -36.3%Projection
205014,927▼ -42.5%Projection

About Mimasaka

Overview

Mimasaka (美作市) is a municipality in Okayama, Japan, with a population of 23,106 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Mimasaka

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Mimasaka's population is expected to reach 21,839 by 2030 (-15.8%), 18,234 by 2040 (-29.7%), and 14,927 by 2050 (-42.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Mimasaka

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 41.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 49.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Mimasaka is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #632 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #621 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1021 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Okayama

Earnings in Okayama (岡山県): Average salary in Okayama (岡山県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Mimasaka, Okayama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Mimasaka has a population of 23,106.
Q.What is the population of Mimasaka in 2026?
A.Mimasaka's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 22,853. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (23,106) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (21,839).
Q.What is the projected population of Mimasaka in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Mimasaka's population is expected to be 21,839 in 2030, 18,234 in 2040, and 14,927 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Mimasaka?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Mimasaka's population is projected to change by -42.5%. The 10-year change is -15.8% and the 20-year change is -29.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Mimasaka declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Mimasaka, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 41.8% to 49.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Mimasaka?
A.Mimasaka's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 41.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 49.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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