Japan Population Decline Simulator

Okayama岡山県

Kurashiki 倉敷市

Data last updated:

Kurashiki, Okayama, Japan has a population of 461,848 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 459,581 by 2030 and 409,836 by 2050 (a decrease of about 13.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.5% in 2020 to 36.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025Census

461,848

2030Projection

459,581

▼ -3.2%

2040Projection

436,212

▼ -8.1%

2050Projection

409,836

▼ -13.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28.5%→2050 36.1%

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Other municipalities in Okayama (岡山県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kurashiki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980432,171▼ -8.9%Census
1985443,721▼ -6.5%Census
1990445,059▼ -6.2%Census
1995453,618▼ -4.4%Census
2000460,869▼ -2.9%Census
2005469,377▼ -1.1%Census
2010475,513▲ +0.2%Census
2015477,118▲ +0.5%Census
2020474,592—Census
2025461,848▼ -2.7%Census
2030459,581▼ -3.2%Projection
2035448,711▼ -5.5%Projection
2040436,212▼ -8.1%Projection
2045423,029▼ -10.9%Projection
2050409,836▼ -13.6%Projection

About Kurashiki

Overview

Kurashiki (倉敷市) is a municipality in Okayama, Japan, with a population of 461,848 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kurashiki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kurashiki's population is expected to reach 459,581 by 2030 (-3.2%), 436,212 by 2040 (-8.1%), and 409,836 by 2050 (-13.6%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Kurashiki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 36.1% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Kurashiki's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1520 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1544 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #43 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Okayama

Earnings in Okayama (岡山県): Average salary in Okayama (岡山県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kurashiki, Okayama?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kurashiki has a population of 461,848.
Q.What is the population of Kurashiki in 2026?
A.Kurashiki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 461,395. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (461,848) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (459,581).
Q.What is the projected population of Kurashiki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kurashiki's population is expected to be 459,581 in 2030, 436,212 in 2040, and 409,836 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kurashiki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kurashiki's population is projected to change by -13.6%. The 10-year change is -3.2% and the 20-year change is -8.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Kurashiki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kurashiki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.5% to 36.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kurashiki?
A.Kurashiki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 36.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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