Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hiroshima広島県

Etajima 江田島市

Data last updated:

Etajima, Hiroshima, Japan has a population of 21,937 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 17,560 by 2030 and 10,232 by 2050 (a decrease of about 53.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 43.7% to 50.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

21,937

2030

(Projection)

17,560

-20.0%

2040

(Projection)

13,543

-38.3%

2050

(Projection)

10,232

-53.4%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 43.7%2050 50.8%

Other municipalities in Hiroshima (広島県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Etajima Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
202021,937Census
202519,673▼ -10.3%Projection
203017,560▼ -20.0%Projection
203515,482▼ -29.4%Projection
204013,543▼ -38.3%Projection
204511,780▼ -46.3%Projection
205010,232▼ -53.4%Projection

About Etajima

Overview

Etajima (江田島市) is a municipality in Hiroshima, Japan, with a population of 21,937 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Etajima

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Etajima's population is expected to reach 17,560 by 2030 (-20.0%), 13,543 by 2040 (-38.3%), and 10,232 by 2050 (-53.4%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Etajima

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 43.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 50.8% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Etajima is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #215 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #515 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1073 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hiroshima

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Etajima, Hiroshima?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Etajima has a population of 21,937.
Q.What is the population of Etajima in 2026?
A.Etajima's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 19,250. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (21,937) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (17,560).
Q.What is the projected population of Etajima in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Etajima's population is expected to be 17,560 in 2030, 13,543 in 2040, and 10,232 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Etajima?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Etajima's population is projected to change by -53.4%. The 10-year change is -20.0% and the 20-year change is -38.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Etajima declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Etajima, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 43.7% to 50.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Etajima?
A.Etajima's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 43.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 50.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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